Arid
DOI10.1029/2023WR035768
Perennial and Non-Perennial Streamflow Regime Shifts Across California, USA
Ayers, Jessica R.; Yarnell, Sarah M.; Baruch, Ethan; Lusardi, Robert A.; Grantham, Theodore E.
通讯作者Ayers, JR
来源期刊WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN0043-1397
EISSN1944-7973
出版年2024
卷号60期号:4
英文摘要Despite rises in drought frequency and human water demands, streamflow regime shifts from perennial to non-perennial have not been evaluated in many arid/semi-arid regions. To document shifts, we created a methodology that classifies streams as naturally perennial or non-perennial. Our classification used historical, minimally disturbed-quality USGS streamflow gages (1950-2015) across California. The number of consecutive zero flow days (>= 5 days) was used to classify 61% (96/158) and 39% (62/158) of gages as perennial and non-perennial, respectively. We developed a random forest model to predict flow regime class based on climate and watershed characteristics. To identify regime shifts, we compared the observed class of contemporary (1980-2023) minimally disturbed and disturbed gages with their modeled, natural class. For most minimally disturbed gages, the observed and natural predicted classes were the same, but 13% (7/52) of gages had a modeled perennial regime with an observed non-perennial class, indicating a drying trend. Among disturbed gages, 22% (64/290) shifted from perennial to non-perennial and 7% (21/290) from non-perennial to perennial. Trends in the minimum 7-day moving average and number of zero-flow days provided further evidence of drying at minimally disturbed streams, but no pattern at disturbed gages. Our results indicate that few minimally disturbed perennial streams have become non-perennial to date, but many streams have experienced drying from climate. Streams impacted by human activities had greater drying rates, but regulation has caused some non-perennial streams to become perennial. By quantifying expected natural streamflow regimes, this work can help monitor, manage, and conserve stream ecosystems. Our approach classified 158 historical (1950-2015) minimally disturbed gages as perennial (61%) and non-perennial (39%) in California Among 52 active minimally disturbed gages, 13% transitioned to non-perennial (1980-2022), indicating a drying trend in response to climate For 290 disturbed gages, 29% showed shifts in both directions, highlighting distinct anthropogenic effects on streamflow
英文关键词intermittent streams streamflow regime classification minimally disturbed conditions anthropogenic change hydrological drought California
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型hybrid
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:001207781300001
WOS关键词ENVIRONMENTAL FLOWS ; UNITED-STATES ; INTERMITTENT ; GROUNDWATER ; PATTERNS ; DAMS ; DEPLETION ; RIVER ; URBANIZATION ; MANAGEMENT
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405929
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ayers, Jessica R.,Yarnell, Sarah M.,Baruch, Ethan,et al. Perennial and Non-Perennial Streamflow Regime Shifts Across California, USA[J],2024,60(4).
APA Ayers, Jessica R.,Yarnell, Sarah M.,Baruch, Ethan,Lusardi, Robert A.,&Grantham, Theodore E..(2024).Perennial and Non-Perennial Streamflow Regime Shifts Across California, USA.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,60(4).
MLA Ayers, Jessica R.,et al."Perennial and Non-Perennial Streamflow Regime Shifts Across California, USA".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 60.4(2024).
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