干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Agent-Based Modeling for Household Decision-Making in Adoption of Private Flood Mitigation Measures: The Upper Kan Catchment Case Study

Arid

DOI	10.3390/w16142027
	Agent-Based Modeling for Household Decision-Making in Adoption of Private Flood Mitigation Measures: The Upper Kan Catchment Case Study
	Nabinejad, Shima; Schuettrumpf, Holger
通讯作者	Nabinejad, S
来源期刊	WATER
EISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2024
卷号	16 期号:14
英文摘要	Residential areas in developing arid and semi-arid countries are highly vulnerable to flooding, and water shortages have forced their inhabitants to live close to rivers. While climate change is expected to cause more extreme weather conditions in the future, adopting private loss-reduction measures can diminish flood risk. Although the number of flood models has grown significantly for developing arid and semi-arid lands, these models suffer from being incapable of performing micro-scale flood risk analysis and including household behaviors. This research work presents a novel socio-economic simulation model in the framework of flood risk management (FRM) to couple household adaptive responses with flood risk analysis. Agent-based modeling (ABM) embeds human behaviors in a flood-simulating environment. The focus of this research is the upper Kan catchment in Iran with a long history of severe flash flooding. Our results show the ability of the developed framework to address household participation in FRM activities through private precautionary measures. Moreover, the results indicate the importance of presenting such micro-level behaviors in flood modeling for a more realistic flood risk assessment. It is also demonstrated that household adaptation in a continuous way can lead to less flood risks in the region, even under climate change and the future economy. Finally, the results reveal that the remaining and diminished regional flood risks are influenced by the behavioral framework through which the individuals make decisions in adopting flood-loss-reduction measures. A similar pattern is, however, observed in household contributions over time among the discussed behavioral approaches.
英文关键词	household adaptive behaviors rational decision-making agent-based modeling upper Kan catchment
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001277068000001
WOS关键词	WATER DEMAND MANAGEMENT ; SIMULATION ; BASIN ; RISK
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405887
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Nabinejad, Shima,Schuettrumpf, Holger. Agent-Based Modeling for Household Decision-Making in Adoption of Private Flood Mitigation Measures: The Upper Kan Catchment Case Study[J],2024,16(14).
APA	Nabinejad, Shima,&Schuettrumpf, Holger.(2024).Agent-Based Modeling for Household Decision-Making in Adoption of Private Flood Mitigation Measures: The Upper Kan Catchment Case Study.WATER,16(14).
MLA	Nabinejad, Shima,et al."Agent-Based Modeling for Household Decision-Making in Adoption of Private Flood Mitigation Measures: The Upper Kan Catchment Case Study".WATER 16.14(2024).