Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s00704-024-05139-7 |
Assessing agroclimatic requirements and modeling olive phenophase events in warm and sub-arid climate areas | |
Elloumi, Olfa; Benmoussa, Haifa; Feki, Mohamed; Chaari, Anissa; Ben Mimoun, Mehdi; Ghrab, Mohamed | |
通讯作者 | Elloumi, O |
来源期刊 | THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0177-798X |
EISSN | 1434-4483 |
出版年 | 2024 |
英文摘要 | Forecasting phenological events has important uses in warm Mediterranean area, where olive is one of the oldest cultivated species.Thus, continuously-recorded phenological observations for the main olive cultivar Chemlali widely spreading in warm and sub-arid area were achieved during 2005-2019 in central Tunisia. Gathered climatic and phenological data were used to: i) delineate the chill and heat accumulation periods and the thermal requirements using Partial Least Squares (PLS) approach; and to ii) develop statistical models predicting budburst and flowering dates. Results revealed significant yearly variations in budburst and flowering dates related to the climatic conditions. PLS analysis delineated two chill accumulation periods spanned from November 19th to January 12th and from the end of March to the beginning of April, respectively. Stepwise regression revealed that the best indicator of the budburst date was the mean temperature in pentad-6 of November followed by the minimum and the mean temperature during pentad-2 of February. Based on these two statistical analyses, chilling requirements seemed to be linked to the first delineated chill accumulation period. Average chilling and heat requirements of 'Chemlali' olive cultivar were 17 CP and 24892 GDH, respectively. A forecasting linear model was generated displaying mean absolute error of 1.6 and 2.4 days between simulated and observed budburst and start flowering dates, respectively. These proposed models will be very helpful for orchard management and the high number of independent factors determining the critical periods necessary for flowering may explain the adaptive plasticity of 'Chemlali' cultivar growing in sub-arid and warm areas. |
类型 | Article ; Early Access |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001293467600001 |
WOS关键词 | OLEA-EUROPAEA L. ; TEMPERATURE-DEPENDENCE ; DORMANCY BREAKING ; FLOWERING TIME ; TREES ; PHENOLOGY ; CROP ; PREDICT ; YIELD ; DIFFERENTIATION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405802 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Elloumi, Olfa,Benmoussa, Haifa,Feki, Mohamed,et al. Assessing agroclimatic requirements and modeling olive phenophase events in warm and sub-arid climate areas[J],2024. |
APA | Elloumi, Olfa,Benmoussa, Haifa,Feki, Mohamed,Chaari, Anissa,Ben Mimoun, Mehdi,&Ghrab, Mohamed.(2024).Assessing agroclimatic requirements and modeling olive phenophase events in warm and sub-arid climate areas.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY. |
MLA | Elloumi, Olfa,et al."Assessing agroclimatic requirements and modeling olive phenophase events in warm and sub-arid climate areas".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2024). |
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