干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Ecosystem service valuation and multi-scenario simulation in the Ebinur Lake Basin using a coupled GMOP-PLUS model

Arid

DOI	10.1038/s41598-024-55763-6
	Ecosystem service valuation and multi-scenario simulation in the Ebinur Lake Basin using a coupled GMOP-PLUS model
	Tang, Hua; Halike, Abudureheman; Yao, Kaixuan; Wei, Qianqian; Yao, Lei; Tuheti, Buweiayixiemu; Luo, Jianmei; Duan, Yuefan
通讯作者	Halike, A
来源期刊	SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN	2045-2322
出版年	2024
卷号	14 期号:1
英文摘要	The Ebinur Lake Basin is an ecologically sensitive area in an arid region. Investigating its land use and land cover (LULC) change and assessing and predicting its ecosystem service value (ESV) are of great importance for the stability of the basin's socioeconomic development and sustainable development of its ecological environment. Based on LULC data from 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020, we assessed the ESV of the Ebinur Lake Basin and coupled the grey multi-objective optimization model with the patch generation land use simulation model to predict ESV changes in 2035 under four scenarios: business-as-usual (BAU) development, rapid economic development (RED), ecological protection (ELP), and ecological-economic balance (EEB). The results show that from 1990 to 2020, the basin was dominated by grassland (51.23%) and unused land (27.6%), with a continuous decrease in unused land and an increase in cultivated land. In thirty years, the total ESV of the study area increased from 18.62 billion to 67.28 billion yuan, with regulation and support services being the dominant functions. By 2035, cultivated land increased while unused land decreased in all four scenarios compared with that in 2020. The total ESV in 2035 under the BAU, RED, ELP, and EEB scenarios was 68.83 billion, 64.47 billion, 67.99 billion, and 66.79 billion yuan, respectively. In the RED and EEB scenarios, ESV decreased by 2.81 billion and 0.49 billion yuan, respectively. In the BAU scenario, provisioning and regulation services increased by 6.05% and 2.93%, respectively. The ELP scenario, focusing on ecological and environmental protection, saw an increase in ESV for all services. This paper can assist policymakers in optimizing land use allocation and provide scientific support for the formulation of land use strategies and sustainable ecological and environmental development in the inland river basins of arid regions.
英文关键词	Ecosystem service value Land use and land cover change GMOP-PLUS model Multi-scenario simulation Ebinur Lake basin
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001179043600032
WOS关键词	LAND USE/COVER CHANGE ; LANDSCAPE PATTERN ; NATURE-RESERVE ; DYNAMICS ; XINJIANG ; CHINA
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405568
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tang, Hua,Halike, Abudureheman,Yao, Kaixuan,et al. Ecosystem service valuation and multi-scenario simulation in the Ebinur Lake Basin using a coupled GMOP-PLUS model[J],2024,14(1).
APA	Tang, Hua.,Halike, Abudureheman.,Yao, Kaixuan.,Wei, Qianqian.,Yao, Lei.,...&Duan, Yuefan.(2024).Ecosystem service valuation and multi-scenario simulation in the Ebinur Lake Basin using a coupled GMOP-PLUS model.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1).
MLA	Tang, Hua,et al."Ecosystem service valuation and multi-scenario simulation in the Ebinur Lake Basin using a coupled GMOP-PLUS model".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024).