Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173892 |
A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society | |
Liu, Lili; Wei, Jiabin; Luo, Pingping; Zhang, Yixuan; Wang, Yihe; Elbeltagi, Ahmed; Zainol, Mohd Remy Rozainy Mohd Arif | |
通讯作者 | Luo, PP |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
出版年 | 2024 |
卷号 | 947 |
英文摘要 | The rapid advancement of global economic integration and urbanization has severely damaged the stability of the ecological environment and hindered the ecological carbon sink capacity. In this study, we evaluated the spatiotemporal evolution pattern of landscape ecological risk (LER) in the Loess Plateau from 2010 to 2020. This was examined under the driving mechanism of human and natural dual factors. We combined the random forest algorithm with the Markov chain to jointly simulate and predict the development trend of LER in 2030. From 2010 to 2020, LER on the Loess Plateau showed a distribution pattern with higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest. Under the interaction of human and natural factors, annual precipitation exerted the strongest constraint on LER. The driving of land use and natural factors significantly influenced the spatial differentiation of the LER, with a q-value >0.30. In all three projected scenarios for 2030, there was an increase in construction land area and a significant reduction in cultivated land area. The urban development scenario showed the greatest expansion of high-risk areas, with a 5.29 % increase. Conversely, the ecological protection scenario showed a 1.53 % increase in high-risk areas. The findings have provided a reference for ecological risk prevention and control, and sustainable development of the ecological environment in arid regions. |
英文关键词 | Landscape ecological risk Human-nature driving Land use Dual carbon Loess plateau |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001268160900001 |
WOS关键词 | ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; LAND-USE ; SIMULATION ; MODELS ; FLUS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405528 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Lili,Wei, Jiabin,Luo, Pingping,et al. A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society[J],2024,947. |
APA | Liu, Lili.,Wei, Jiabin.,Luo, Pingping.,Zhang, Yixuan.,Wang, Yihe.,...&Zainol, Mohd Remy Rozainy Mohd Arif.(2024).A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,947. |
MLA | Liu, Lili,et al."A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 947(2024). |
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