Arid
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173892
A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society
Liu, Lili; Wei, Jiabin; Luo, Pingping; Zhang, Yixuan; Wang, Yihe; Elbeltagi, Ahmed; Zainol, Mohd Remy Rozainy Mohd Arif
通讯作者Luo, PP
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
出版年2024
卷号947
英文摘要The rapid advancement of global economic integration and urbanization has severely damaged the stability of the ecological environment and hindered the ecological carbon sink capacity. In this study, we evaluated the spatiotemporal evolution pattern of landscape ecological risk (LER) in the Loess Plateau from 2010 to 2020. This was examined under the driving mechanism of human and natural dual factors. We combined the random forest algorithm with the Markov chain to jointly simulate and predict the development trend of LER in 2030. From 2010 to 2020, LER on the Loess Plateau showed a distribution pattern with higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest. Under the interaction of human and natural factors, annual precipitation exerted the strongest constraint on LER. The driving of land use and natural factors significantly influenced the spatial differentiation of the LER, with a q-value >0.30. In all three projected scenarios for 2030, there was an increase in construction land area and a significant reduction in cultivated land area. The urban development scenario showed the greatest expansion of high-risk areas, with a 5.29 % increase. Conversely, the ecological protection scenario showed a 1.53 % increase in high-risk areas. The findings have provided a reference for ecological risk prevention and control, and sustainable development of the ecological environment in arid regions.
英文关键词Landscape ecological risk Human-nature driving Land use Dual carbon Loess plateau
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:001268160900001
WOS关键词ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; LAND-USE ; SIMULATION ; MODELS ; FLUS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405528
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Liu, Lili,Wei, Jiabin,Luo, Pingping,et al. A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society[J],2024,947.
APA Liu, Lili.,Wei, Jiabin.,Luo, Pingping.,Zhang, Yixuan.,Wang, Yihe.,...&Zainol, Mohd Remy Rozainy Mohd Arif.(2024).A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,947.
MLA Liu, Lili,et al."A novel quantity assessment of landscape ecological risk using human-nature driving mechanism for sustainable society".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 947(2024).
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