干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Unveiling the role of climate in spatially synchronized locust outbreak risks

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DOI	10.1126/sciadv.adj1164
	Unveiling the role of climate in spatially synchronized locust outbreak risks
	Liu, Xinyue; Zhang, Dongxiao; He, Xiaogang
通讯作者	He, XG
来源期刊	SCIENCE ADVANCES
ISSN	2375-2548
出版年	2024
卷号	10 期号:7
英文摘要	Desert locusts threaten crop production and food security. Spatially synchronized locust outbreaks further exacerbate these crises. Continental-scale understanding of such compound locust risks and underlying climatic drivers is crucial to designing coordinated and predictive control strategies but remains elusive. Here, we develop a data-driven framework to assess the compound risk of locust outbreaks in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and elucidate the role of climate in locust dynamics. We find that more than one-fifth of high-risk country pairs faced spatially synchronized locust risks from 1985 to 2020, dominated by concurrent winds or inundations. Individual locusts are more prone to infest arid areas punched by extreme rainfall. The spatial prevalence of locusts is strongly modulated by climate variability such as El Nino-Southern Oscillation. A warming climate will lead to widespread increases in locust outbreaks with emerging hotspots in west central Asia, posing additional challenges to the global coordination of locust control.
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001189022400022
WOS关键词	DESERT LOCUST ; AFRICAN RAINFALL ; EL-NINO ; PRECIPITATION ; FREQUENCY ; DYNAMICS ; TEMPERATURE ; POPULATIONS ; FRAMEWORK ; PATTERNS
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405407
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Xinyue,Zhang, Dongxiao,He, Xiaogang. Unveiling the role of climate in spatially synchronized locust outbreak risks[J],2024,10(7).
APA	Liu, Xinyue,Zhang, Dongxiao,&He, Xiaogang.(2024).Unveiling the role of climate in spatially synchronized locust outbreak risks.SCIENCE ADVANCES,10(7).
MLA	Liu, Xinyue,et al."Unveiling the role of climate in spatially synchronized locust outbreak risks".SCIENCE ADVANCES 10.7(2024).