Arid
DOI10.1073/pnas.2314899121
Relative decline in density of Northern Hemisphere tree species in warm and arid regions of their climate niches
Astigarraga, Julen; Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane; Ruiz-Benito, Paloma; Rodriguez-Sanchez, Francisco; Zavala, Miguel A.; Vila-Cabrera, Albert; Schelhaas, Mart-Jan; Kunstler, Georges; Woodall, Christopher W.; Cienciala, Emil; Dahlgren, Jonas; Govaere, Leen; Koenig, Louis A.; Lehtonen, Aleksi; Talarczyk, Andrzej; Liu, Daijun; Pugh, Thomas A. M.
通讯作者Astigarraga, J
来源期刊PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
ISSN0027-8424
EISSN1091-6490
出版年2024
卷号121期号:28
英文摘要Although climate change is expected to drive tree species toward colder and wetter regions of their distribution, broadscale empirical evidence is lacking. One possibility is that past and present human activities in forests obscure or alter the effects of climate. Here, using data from more than two million monitored trees from 73 widely distributed species, we quantify changes in tree species density within their climatic niches across Northern Hemisphere forests. We observe a reduction in mean density across species, coupled with a tendency toward increasing tree size. However, the direction and magnitude of changes in density exhibit considerable variability between species, influenced by stand development that results from previous stand- level disturbances. Remarkably, when accounting for stand development, our findings show a significant change in density toward cold and wet climatic conditions for 43% of the species, compared to only 14% of species significantly changing their density toward warm and arid conditions in both early- and late- development stands. The observed changes in climate- driven density showed no clear association with species traits related to drought tolerance, recruitment and dispersal capacity, or resource use, nor with the temperature or aridity affiliation of the species, leaving the underlying mechanism uncertain. Forest conservation policies and associated management strategies might want to consider anticipated long- term species range shifts alongside the integration of contemporary within- distribution density changes.
英文关键词species density climate change climatic sensitivity stand development forest dynamics
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:001272924400006
WOS关键词RANGE SHIFTS ; ADAPTATION ; DROUGHT
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405233
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GB/T 7714
Astigarraga, Julen,Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane,Ruiz-Benito, Paloma,et al. Relative decline in density of Northern Hemisphere tree species in warm and arid regions of their climate niches[J],2024,121(28).
APA Astigarraga, Julen.,Esquivel-Muelbert, Adriane.,Ruiz-Benito, Paloma.,Rodriguez-Sanchez, Francisco.,Zavala, Miguel A..,...&Pugh, Thomas A. M..(2024).Relative decline in density of Northern Hemisphere tree species in warm and arid regions of their climate niches.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,121(28).
MLA Astigarraga, Julen,et al."Relative decline in density of Northern Hemisphere tree species in warm and arid regions of their climate niches".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 121.28(2024).
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