干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Climate change may drive the distribution of tribe Zyginelline pests in China and the Indo-China Peninsula to shift towards higher latitude river-mountain systems

Arid

DOI	10.1002/ps.7788
	Climate change may drive the distribution of tribe Zyginelline pests in China and the Indo-China Peninsula to shift towards higher latitude river-mountain systems
	Ran, Wei-Wei; Luo, Gui-Mei; Zhao, Yuan-Qi; Li, Can; Dietrich, Christopher H.; Song, Yue-Hua
通讯作者	Song, YH
来源期刊	PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
ISSN	1526-498X
EISSN	1526-4998
出版年	2024
卷号	80 期号:2 页码:613-626
英文摘要	BACKGROUNDTribe Zyginelline leafhoppers can transmit plant viruses and are important pests that affect agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry, causing serious economic losses. The potential distribution patterns of Zyginellini will change under climate change. Therefore, the best-performing random forest and maximum entropy models among 12 commonly used ecological niche models, alongside an ensemble model, were selected to predict the changes in habitat suitability distribution of Zyginellini under current and future climate scenarios [represented by two shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs), namely SSP126 and SSP585, for three periods (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s)] in China and the Indo-China Peninsula for the first time.RESULTSThe results revealed that the distribution of Zyginellini was mainly dominated by minimum temperature of coldest month. Under current and future climate scenarios, Zyginellini was mostly distributed southeast of the 400 mm equivalent precipitation line in China, and Vietnam. Under the future SSP126 scenario, the alert areas will mainly be concentrated in Hunan, Jiangxi, Zhejiang, Anhui, and Hebei in China, alongside Myanmar and Thailand in the Indo-China Peninsula. Meanwhile, in the SSP585 scenario, the alert areas in China will increase, whereas there will be little change in the Indo-China Peninsula. Interestingly, from the current to the future, the cores of Zyginelline distribution occurred around rivers and mountains, and shifted from Guizhou along the Yuanjiang River system to higher latitudes in Hunan.CONCLUSIONZyginellini prefers higher latitude river-mountain systems under climate change. Our results will contribute to effective pest control strategies and biogeographical research for Zyginellini alongside other Cicadellidae insects. (c) 2023 Society of Chemical Industry. The distribution of Zyginelline pests is mainly influenced by minimum temperature of coldest month. Under climate change, Zyginellini prefers higher latitude river-mountain systems. Our results have implications for pest management.image
英文关键词	pest management climate change habitat suitability potential distribution environmental adaptability ecological niche models
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Bronze
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001076279300001
WOS关键词	POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION ; COMMUNITY STRUCTURE ; TREE MORTALITY ; GLOBAL-CHANGE ; ARID REGION ; DROUGHT ; FOREST ; DIVERSITY ; FUTURE ; CICADELLIDAE
WOS类目	Agronomy ; Entomology
WOS研究方向	Agriculture ; Entomology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/405050
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ran, Wei-Wei,Luo, Gui-Mei,Zhao, Yuan-Qi,et al. Climate change may drive the distribution of tribe Zyginelline pests in China and the Indo-China Peninsula to shift towards higher latitude river-mountain systems[J],2024,80(2):613-626.
APA	Ran, Wei-Wei,Luo, Gui-Mei,Zhao, Yuan-Qi,Li, Can,Dietrich, Christopher H.,&Song, Yue-Hua.(2024).Climate change may drive the distribution of tribe Zyginelline pests in China and the Indo-China Peninsula to shift towards higher latitude river-mountain systems.PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE,80(2),613-626.
MLA	Ran, Wei-Wei,et al."Climate change may drive the distribution of tribe Zyginelline pests in China and the Indo-China Peninsula to shift towards higher latitude river-mountain systems".PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE 80.2(2024):613-626.