干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s11069-023-06220-6
	Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye
	Isinkaralar, Oznur; Isinkaralar, Kaan; Sevik, Hakan; Kucuk, Omer
通讯作者	Isinkaralar, K
来源期刊	NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN	0921-030X
EISSN	1573-0840
出版年	2024
卷号	120 期号:1 页码:511-528
英文摘要	Climate change, triggered by the direct and indirect effects of urbanization, seriously threatens the ecosystem, earth cycles, and vitality. It is quite complex to investigate the reasons for the devastating effect of extreme events that occur with the impact of climate change. However, future projections based on probabilities are needed for governments and urban planning to develop strategies and manage the crisis on a global scale. This research aims to simulate the effects of climate change on temperature, precipitation, and climate classes, which are the basic parameters in spatio-temporal conditions. In this context, within the framework of SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 scenarios defined by The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports, forecast maps were produced by using De Martonne (IDM), Emberger (IE), and Lang (IL) indexes in twenty-year periods until 2100. IDM reveals that arid areas not included in the area today will constitute 41.96% of the site according to 2100 models. The IE classification estimates that very humid areas will decrease from 58.36 to 0.23%. According to IL, while humid regions (90.86%) occupy a prominent place, they will reduce to 0.42% in 2100 and turn into semi-humid areas (69.43%). The research presents climate risk and the devastating threat facing the world by simulating shifts in the most common climate classes according to different climate class indexes.
英文关键词	Climate change Climate hazards Basin management Vulnerability Precautions
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001079941000002
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/404949
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Isinkaralar, Oznur,Isinkaralar, Kaan,Sevik, Hakan,et al. Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye[J],2024,120(1):511-528.
APA	Isinkaralar, Oznur,Isinkaralar, Kaan,Sevik, Hakan,&Kucuk, Omer.(2024).Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye.NATURAL HAZARDS,120(1),511-528.
MLA	Isinkaralar, Oznur,et al."Spatial modeling the climate change risk of river basins via climate classification: a scenario-based prediction approach for Türkiye".NATURAL HAZARDS 120.1(2024):511-528.