干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): The Use of an Optimized Grey Multi-Objective Programming-PLUS Model for Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use in the Weigan-Kuche River Oasis, China

Arid

DOI	10.3390/land13060802
	The Use of an Optimized Grey Multi-Objective Programming-PLUS Model for Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use in the Weigan-Kuche River Oasis, China
	Dong, Kangning; Wang, Hongwei; Luo, Kui; Yan, Xiaomei; Yi, Suyan; Huang, Xin
通讯作者	Wang, HW
来源期刊	LAND
EISSN	2073-445X
出版年	2024
卷号	13 期号:6
英文摘要	The oasis serves as the primary supply of cultivable land, along with the hub for human production and habitation in Xinjiang. Accordingly, predicting the land use of these areas based on various goals is an effective instrument for encouraging the sensible distribution of resource space. The study investigated the creation of a land use-allocation optimization model based on the various objectives of ecological protection, food security, and urban growth using the Weigan-Kuche River oasis as an example. The GMOP-PLUS model's restriction conversion area was adjusted to include the findings of the land suitability evaluation. Additionally, it optimized and simulated the spatial arrangement and quantitative structure of land usage in the Weigan-Kuche River oasis in 2035. The results indicate the following: (1) the model's overall accuracy is 89.36%, and its Kappa coefficient is 0.872, more than 0.8. Thus, the model can be considered for adoption in the future when predicting changes in land use in the districts and counties of the Weigan-Kuche River oasis; (2) based on the results of the land suitability evaluation, the percentage of areas that are most suited for agricultural development, urban development, and ecological protection is 39.32%, 24.21%, and 14.06%, respectively; and (3) the three scenarios satisfy the various demands for growth within the oasis, and the land use structure of the oasis varies considerably in response to the various development objectives, with the construction and cultivated land undergoing the most substantial modifications. The multi-scenario simulation of land usage in the oasis can provide essential support and a range of perspectives for future land spatial planning and socioeconomic development decision-making in the Weigan-Kuche River oasis. This is essential for both the efficient use of land resources and sustainable development.
英文关键词	oasis land suitability evaluation multi-scenario simulation GMOP-PLUS modeling
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:001256032200001
WOS关键词	ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; CARBON EMISSION ; URBANIZATION ; CITY
WOS类目	Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/404813
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Dong, Kangning,Wang, Hongwei,Luo, Kui,et al. The Use of an Optimized Grey Multi-Objective Programming-PLUS Model for Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use in the Weigan-Kuche River Oasis, China[J],2024,13(6).
APA	Dong, Kangning,Wang, Hongwei,Luo, Kui,Yan, Xiaomei,Yi, Suyan,&Huang, Xin.(2024).The Use of an Optimized Grey Multi-Objective Programming-PLUS Model for Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use in the Weigan-Kuche River Oasis, China.LAND,13(6).
MLA	Dong, Kangning,et al."The Use of an Optimized Grey Multi-Objective Programming-PLUS Model for Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use in the Weigan-Kuche River Oasis, China".LAND 13.6(2024).