Arid
DOI10.1029/2024JG008030
Spatio-Temporal Variations of Habitat Quality Under 8 SSP-RCP Scenarios in China
Feng, Yuke; Zhai, Shiyan; Song, Genxin; Song, Hongquan; Dong, Guanpeng; Jiang, Xintong; Dong, Changchang; Jayathilaka, H. B. T. P.
通讯作者Zhai, SY
来源期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES
ISSN2169-8953
EISSN2169-8961
出版年2024
卷号129期号:7
英文摘要Habitat quality is a key expression of ecosystem ability and the basis for effective species conservation and regional ecological environment improvement. However, most studies have focused on assessing habitat quality over historical periods, ignoring the influence of coupled future development paths and climate change. The present study addresses this issue by developing a spatial-temporal variation analysis framework for assessing habitat quality in China, which integrates the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model with eight Earth system coupled scenarios (SSP-RCP). The results showed that from 2020 to 2100, and under five scenarios (SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-6.0, SSP5-3.4, and SSP5-8.5), habitat quality was generally stable and high, while under three scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, and SSP4-3.4), it decreased. The SSP2-4.5 scenario was significantly better than the SSP4-3.4 scenario. In all scenarios, the influences of different development patterns on China's ecologically fragile areas were obvious and serious. In 2030 and 2060, the spatial distribution patterns of habitat degradation and habitat quality had similar characteristics. High habitat degradation values were mostly distributed east of the Heihe-Tengchong Line, while low values were mainly distributed in the arid zone. The mean habitat degradation ranged between 0.0226 and 0.0302, and the degradation degree was relatively light. The habitat quality index mean was 0.5120-0.5376, indicating that the overall habitat quality was at the medium level. This study provides a potential ecological protection baseline for China based on habitat protection and provides an important reference for China's sustainable development. Habitat quality is a key expression of ecosystem ability and the basis for effective species conservation and regional ecological environment improvement. However, most studies have focused on assessing habitat quality over historical periods, ignoring the influence of coupled future development paths and climate change. The present study addresses this issue by developing a spatial-temporal variation analysis framework for assessing habitat quality in China, which integrates the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model with eight Earth system coupled scenarios (SSP-RCP). The results showed that from 2020 to 2100, and under five scenarios (SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-6.0, SSP5-3.4, and SSP5-8.5), habitat quality was generally stable and high, while under three scenarios (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, and SSP4-3.4), it decreased. The SSP2-4.5 scenario was significantly better than the SSP4-3.4 scenario. In all scenarios, the influences of different development patterns on China's ecologically fragile areas were obvious and serious. In 2030 and 2060, the spatial distribution patterns of habitat degradation and habitat quality had similar characteristics. High habitat degradation values were mostly distributed east of the Heihe-Tengchong Line, while low values were mainly distributed in the arid zone. We assess habitat quality in China under eight coupled scenarios of climate change and future development pathways The overall habitat quality decreases under different scenarios from 2020 to 2100 Climate change and different development patterns have the greatest impact on the ecologically fragile areas
英文关键词climate change habitat quality ecologically fragile SSP-RCP China
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:001257567400001
WOS关键词AREA
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/404528
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Feng, Yuke,Zhai, Shiyan,Song, Genxin,et al. Spatio-Temporal Variations of Habitat Quality Under 8 SSP-RCP Scenarios in China[J],2024,129(7).
APA Feng, Yuke.,Zhai, Shiyan.,Song, Genxin.,Song, Hongquan.,Dong, Guanpeng.,...&Jayathilaka, H. B. T. P..(2024).Spatio-Temporal Variations of Habitat Quality Under 8 SSP-RCP Scenarios in China.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES,129(7).
MLA Feng, Yuke,et al."Spatio-Temporal Variations of Habitat Quality Under 8 SSP-RCP Scenarios in China".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-BIOGEOSCIENCES 129.7(2024).
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