干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s40333-024-0061-8
	Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change
	Chen, Zhuo; Shao, Minghao; Hu, Zihao; Gao, Xin; Lei, Jiaqiang
通讯作者	Gao, X
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF ARID LAND
ISSN	1674-6767
EISSN	2194-7783
出版年	2024
英文摘要	Understanding the spatial distribution of plant species and their dynamic changes in arid areas is crucial for addressing the challenges posed by climate change. Haloxylon ammodendron shelterbelts are essential for the protection of plant resources and the control of desertification in Central Asia. Thus far, the potential suitable habitats of H. ammodendron in Central Asia are still uncertain in the future under global climate change conditions. This study utilised the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model to combine the current distribution data of H. ammodendron with its growth-related data to analyze the potential distribution pattern of H. ammodendron across Central Asia. The results show that there are suitable habitats of H. ammodendron in the Aralkum Desert, northern slopes of the Tianshan Mountains, and the upstream of the Tarim River and western edge of the Taklimakan Desert in the Tarim Basin under the current climate conditions. The period from 2021 to 2040 is projected to undergo significant changes in the suitable habitat area of H. ammodendron in Central Asia, with a projected 15.0% decrease in the unsuitable habitat area. Inland areas farther from the ocean, such as the Caspian Sea and Aralkum Desert, will continue to experience a decrease in the suitable habitats of H. ammodendron. Regions exhibiting frequent fluctuations in the habitat suitability levels are primarily found along the axis stretching from Astana to Kazakhskiy Melkosopochnik in Kazakhstan. These regions can transition into suitable habitats under varying climate conditions, requiring the implementation of appropriate human intervention measures to prevent desertification. Future climate conditions are expected to cause an eastward shift in the geometric centre of the potential suitable habitats of H. ammodendron, with the extent of this shift amplifying alongside more greenhouse gas emissions. This study can provide theoretical support for the spatial configuration of H. ammodendron shelterbelts and desertification control in Central Asia, emphasising the importance of proactive measures to adapt to climate change in the future.
英文关键词	Haloxylon ammodendron potential suitable habitats climate change desertification maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model Central Asia Aralkum Desert
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001278323900002
WOS关键词	DYNAMICS ; MODELS ; IMPACTS ; MAXENT
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/404387
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Chen, Zhuo,Shao, Minghao,Hu, Zihao,et al. Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change[J],2024.
APA	Chen, Zhuo,Shao, Minghao,Hu, Zihao,Gao, Xin,&Lei, Jiaqiang.(2024).Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change.JOURNAL OF ARID LAND.
MLA	Chen, Zhuo,et al."Potential distribution of Haloxylon ammodendron in Central Asia under climate change".JOURNAL OF ARID LAND (2024).