干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1080/02626667.2024.2317269
	Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran
	Naderi, Mostafa; Saatsaz, Masoud; Peely, Ahmad Behrouj
通讯作者	Naderi, M
来源期刊	HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL
ISSN	0262-6667
EISSN	2150-3435
出版年	2024
卷号	69 期号:3 页码:337-364
英文摘要	Extreme climate events and precipitation depths are assessed for Iran with minimal uncertainties, considering three sources of uncertainty: general circulation models (GCMs), future scenarios, and downscaling method. The frequency, duration, severity, and intensity of extreme events, along with extreme precipitation depths for 2- to 50-year return periods, are evaluated for the baseline period (1980-2014) and three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP1-1.9, SSP2- 4.5, and SSP5-8.5 (2021-2080). Daily precipitation and temperature data from multi-model ensemble of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 6 are statistically downscaled for 51 stations across Iran. Extreme precipitation depths increase under SSP1-1.9, whereas the precipitation anomaly depends on location under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. The southern coastal and southeastern regions (remaining stations) will experience more-frequent shorter (less-frequent longer) extreme events. The GCM and downscaling method are the main sources of uncertainty in projected precipitation, while climate scenario significantly contributes to the uncertainty in projected temperature.
英文关键词	Drought extreme precipitation climate change CMIP6 transient downscaling Iran
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001178035200001
WOS关键词	CHANGE SCENARIOS ; WEATHER EVENTS ; ARID REGION ; LOCAL-SCALE ; PRECIPITATION ; IMPACTS ; SURFACE ; MODEL ; UNCERTAINTY ; TEMPERATURE
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/404119
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Naderi, Mostafa,Saatsaz, Masoud,Peely, Ahmad Behrouj. Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran[J],2024,69(3):337-364.
APA	Naderi, Mostafa,Saatsaz, Masoud,&Peely, Ahmad Behrouj.(2024).Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran.HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL,69(3),337-364.
MLA	Naderi, Mostafa,et al."Extreme climate events under global warming in Iran".HYDROLOGICAL SCIENCES JOURNAL 69.3(2024):337-364.