干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change

Arid

DOI	10.3389/fpls.2024.1360190
	Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change
	Huang, Qiuliang; Liu, Haoyang; Li, Changshun; Zhu, Xiaoru; Yuan, Zongsheng; Lai, Jialiang; Cao, Minghui; Huang, Zhenbei; Yang, Yushan; Zhuo, Shenglan; Lue, Zengwei; Zhang, Guofang
通讯作者	Zhang, GF
来源期刊	FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE
ISSN	1664-462X
出版年	2024
卷号	15
英文摘要	Introduction Arid and semi-arid regions are climate-sensitive areas, which account for about 40% of the world's land surface area. Future environment change will impact the environment of these area, resulting in a sharp expansion of arid and semi-arid regions. Cotoneaster multiflorus is a multi-functional tree species with extreme cold, drought and barren resistance, as well as ornamental and medicinal functions. It was found to be one of the most important tree species for ecological restoration in arid and semi-arid areas. However, bioclimatic factors play an important role in the growth, development and distribution of plants. Therefore, exploring the response pattern and ecological adaptability of C. multiflorus to future climate change is important for the long-term ecological restoration of C. multiflorus in arid and semi-arid areas. Methods In this study, we predicted the potential distribution of C. multiflorus in China under different climate scenarios based on the MaxEnt 2.0 model, and discussed its adaptability and the major factors affecting its geographical distribution. Results The major factors that explained the geographical distribution of C. multiflorus were Annual precipitation (Bio12), Min air temperature of the coldest month (Bio6), and Mean air temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11). However, C. multiflorus could thrive in environments where Annual precipitation (Bio12) >150 mm, Min air temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) > -42.5 degrees C, and Mean air temperature of the coldest quarter (Bio11) > -20 degrees C, showcasing its characteristics of cold and drought tolerance. Under different future climate scenarios, the total suitable area for C. multiflorus ranged from 411.199x10(4) km(2) to 470.191x10(4) km(2), which was 0.8 similar to 6.14 percentage points higher than the current total suitable area. Additionally, it would further shift towards higher latitude. Discussion The MaxEnt 2.0 model predicted the potential distribution pattern of C. multiflorus in the context of future climate change, and identified its ecological adaptability and the main climatic factors affecting its distribution. This study provides an important theoretical basis for natural vegetation restoration in arid and semi-arid areas.
英文关键词	Cotoneaster multiflorus MaxEnt 2.0 model distribution niche arid and semi-arid areas ecological restoration
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001228805500001
WOS关键词	SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; DROUGHT ; MAXENT ; PRODUCTIVITY ; ECOSYSTEMS ; DIVERSITY ; HABITAT ; MODELS
WOS类目	Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向	Plant Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403860
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Huang, Qiuliang,Liu, Haoyang,Li, Changshun,et al. Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change[J],2024,15.
APA	Huang, Qiuliang.,Liu, Haoyang.,Li, Changshun.,Zhu, Xiaoru.,Yuan, Zongsheng.,...&Zhang, Guofang.(2024).Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change.FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE,15.
MLA	Huang, Qiuliang,et al."Predicting the geographical distribution and niche characteristics of Cotoneaster multiflorus based on future climate change".FRONTIERS IN PLANT SCIENCE 15(2024).