Arid
DOI10.1007/s12665-024-11456-x
Quantitative analysis of the effects of climate change and human activities on the runoff in the Shiyang River Basin
Ran, Duan; Xin, Huijuan; Li, Zongjie; Bin, Xu; Liu, Mengqing; Liu, Xiaoying
通讯作者Li, ZJ
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES
ISSN1866-6280
EISSN1866-6299
出版年2024
卷号83期号:6
英文摘要Linear regression, inverse distance weighting analyses, and Budyko's hypothesis were applied to the Shiyang River Basin. The spatial and temporal characteristics of runoff from the main stream and tributaries in the Shiyang River Basin from 1959 to 2017 were analyzed. Furthermore, the contributions of climate change and human activities to runoff in the Shiyang River Basin were quantitatively resolved. The annual runoff showed a decreasing trend (0.06 x 108 m3/10a), with a spatial distribution pattern decreasing from southwest to northeast. Runoff in the Shiyang River Basin accelerated significantly after 1990, and the growth rate was most significant in the main stem. In addition, precipitation and potential evapotranspiration increased at a rate of 7.44 and 8.46 mm/10a, respectively. The areas of farmland and urban land increased to different degrees, whereas the areas of the remaining land types decreased. The construction of hydropower stations was concentrated in the period 2004-2011. Finally, the contributions of climate change and human activity to runoff in the upper reaches were 81.17 and 18.83%, and the main factor of runoff change is climate change. The contributions of climate change and human activity to runoff in the middle and lower reaches were 15.83 and 84.17%, respectively. The main factor affecting runoff change was human activity. Climate change and human activity are the main factors affecting runoff from inland river basins in arid regions. The results provide parameter support for quantifying the impacts of climate change and human activities on inland river basin runoff and for modeling. The findings also provide a scientific basis for the rational allocation, planning, and management of water resources and the sustainable development of arid inland river basins.
英文关键词Quantitative analysis Runoff change Climate change Human activities Shiyang river basin
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:001182621500007
WOS关键词ATTRIBUTION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403551
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ran, Duan,Xin, Huijuan,Li, Zongjie,et al. Quantitative analysis of the effects of climate change and human activities on the runoff in the Shiyang River Basin[J],2024,83(6).
APA Ran, Duan,Xin, Huijuan,Li, Zongjie,Bin, Xu,Liu, Mengqing,&Liu, Xiaoying.(2024).Quantitative analysis of the effects of climate change and human activities on the runoff in the Shiyang River Basin.ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES,83(6).
MLA Ran, Duan,et al."Quantitative analysis of the effects of climate change and human activities on the runoff in the Shiyang River Basin".ENVIRONMENTAL EARTH SCIENCES 83.6(2024).
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