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DOI10.1016/j.energy.2024.132228
Multivariate short-term wind speed prediction based on PSO-VMD-SE-ICEEMDAN two-stage decomposition and Att-S2S
Sun, Xiaoying; Liu, Haizhong
通讯作者Liu, HZ
来源期刊ENERGY
ISSN0360-5442
EISSN1873-6785
出版年2024
卷号305
英文摘要To counter the challenges posed by the unpredictability of wind velocities on wind energy production, a wind speed prediction model combining chaotic mapping-based particle swarm optimization with variational modal decomposition (CPSO-VMD), sample entropy (SE), improved completely integrated empirical modal decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) two-layer decomposition, and attention mechanism-based sequence to sequence (Att-S2S) method is proposed. Firstly, the Lasso method is employed to filter the features that significantly contribute to the wind speed data, fully considering hidden relevant information and eliminating redundant data to improve the prediction accuracy; Secondly, CPSO optimized by introducing chaotic mapping determines the parameter pairs for VMD. This facilitates an adaptive VMD breakdown of the wind speed sequence, aiding in noise removal and selection of the intrinsic mode function (IMF) with the highest sample entropy for further decomposition using ICEEMDAN. In light of this, a sequence-to-sequence method based on the attention mechanism is suggested, which may highlight the influence features ' effects on IMF; Finally, the proposed model is implemented at both the Paso Robles wind farm and the Oasis wind farm for practical assessment and benchmarked against other models. Overall, the proposed model outperforms the other models in these trials.
英文关键词Renewable energy Wind speed prediction Multivariate input Two -stage decomposition Att-S2S
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:001266440000001
WOS关键词OPTIMIZATION
WOS类目Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403489
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun, Xiaoying,Liu, Haizhong. Multivariate short-term wind speed prediction based on PSO-VMD-SE-ICEEMDAN two-stage decomposition and Att-S2S[J],2024,305.
APA Sun, Xiaoying,&Liu, Haizhong.(2024).Multivariate short-term wind speed prediction based on PSO-VMD-SE-ICEEMDAN two-stage decomposition and Att-S2S.ENERGY,305.
MLA Sun, Xiaoying,et al."Multivariate short-term wind speed prediction based on PSO-VMD-SE-ICEEMDAN two-stage decomposition and Att-S2S".ENERGY 305(2024).
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