干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change

Arid

DOI	10.1002/ece3.70015
	The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change
	Wang, Xinyou; Li, Zhengsheng; Zhang, Lijun; Wang, Yanlong; Liu, Ying; Ma, Yushou
通讯作者	Liu, Y ; Ma, YS
来源期刊	ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
ISSN	2045-7758
出版年	2024
卷号	14 期号:7
英文摘要	Reaumuria songarica, a drought-resistant shrub, is widely distributed and plays a crucial role in the northern deserts of China. It is a key species for desert rehabilitation and afforestation efforts. Using the Maxent model to predict suitable planting areas for R. songarica is an important strategy for combating desertification. With 184 occurrence points of R. songarica and 13 environmental variables, the optimized Maxent model has identified the main limiting factors for its distribution. Distribution patterns and variation trends of R. songarica were projected for current and future climates (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) and different scenarios (ssp_126, ssp_370, and ssp_585). Results show that setting parameters to RM (regulation multiplier) = 4 and FC (feature combination) = LQHPT yields a model with good accuracy and high reliability. Currently, R. songarica is primarily suitable for desert control in eight provinces and autonomous regions, including Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Ningxia. The total suitable planting area is 148.80 x 10(4) km(2), representing 15.45% of China's land area. Precipitation (Precipitation of the wettest month, Precipitation of the warmest quarter, and Annual precipitation) and Ultraviolet-B seasonality are the primary environmental factors limiting the growth and distribution of R. songarica. Mean temperature of the warmest quarter is the primary factor driving changes in the distribution of suitable areas for R. songarica under future climate scenarios. In future climate scenarios, the suitable planting area of R. songarica will shrink, and the distribution center will shift towards higher latitude, potentially indicate further desertification. The area of highly suitable habitat has increased, while moderately and less suitable habitat areas have decreased. Increased precipitation within R. songarica's water tolerance range is favorable for its growth and reproduction. With changes in the suitable cultivation area for R. songarica, priority should be given to exploring and utilizing its germplasm resources. Introduction and cultivation can be conducted in expanding regions, while scientifically effective measures should be implemented to protect germplasm resources in contracting regions. The findings of this study provide a theoretical basis for addressing desertification resulting from climate change and offer practical insights for the development, utilization, introduction, and cultivation of R. songarica germplasm resources.
英文关键词	climate change ecological niche modeling Maxent Reaumuria songarica suitable cultivation areas
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001271687800001
WOS关键词	SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; RANGE ; COMPLEXITY ; PLANT ; SOONGORICA ; INVASION ; IMPACTS ; SHIFTS
WOS类目	Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Evolutionary Biology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403459
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Xinyou,Li, Zhengsheng,Zhang, Lijun,et al. The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change[J],2024,14(7).
APA	Wang, Xinyou,Li, Zhengsheng,Zhang, Lijun,Wang, Yanlong,Liu, Ying,&Ma, Yushou.(2024).The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change.ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,14(7).
MLA	Wang, Xinyou,et al."The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change".ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 14.7(2024).