Arid
DOI10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108194
Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts
Tilman, Andrew R.; Krueger, Elisabeth H.; McManus, Lisa C.; Watson, James R.
通讯作者Tilman, AR
来源期刊ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ISSN0921-8009
EISSN1873-6106
出版年2024
卷号221
英文摘要Global environmental change is pushing many socio-environmental systems towards critical thresholds, where ecological systems' states are on the precipice of tipping points and interventions are needed to navigate or avert impending transitions. Flickering, where a system vacillates between alternative stable states, is an early warning signal of transitions to alternative ecological regimes. However, while flickering may presage an ecological tipping point, these dynamics also pose unique challenges for human adaptation. We link an ecological model that can exhibit flickering to a model of human environmental adaptation to explore the impact of flickering on the utility of adaptive agents. When adaptive capacity is low, flickering causes wellbeing to decline disproportionately. As a result, flickering dynamics move forward the optimal timing of a transformational change that can secure wellbeing despite environmental variability. The implications of flickering on communities faced with desertification, fisheries collapse, and ecosystem change are explored as possible case studies. Flickering, driven in part by climate change and extreme events, may already be impacting communities. Our results suggest that governance interventions investing in adaptive capacity or facilitating transformational change before flickering arises could blunt the negative impact of flickering as socio-environmental systems pass through tipping points.
英文关键词Social-ecological systems Critical transitions Early-warning signals Wellbeing Flickering
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型hybrid, Green Submitted
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:001230984300001
WOS关键词EARLY-WARNING SIGNALS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; COASTAL COMMUNITIES ; TIPPING POINTS ; DIVERSIFICATION ; ADAPTATION ; THRESHOLDS ; RISK ; VULNERABILITY ; RESPONSES
WOS类目Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403352
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GB/T 7714
Tilman, Andrew R.,Krueger, Elisabeth H.,McManus, Lisa C.,et al. Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts[J],2024,221.
APA Tilman, Andrew R.,Krueger, Elisabeth H.,McManus, Lisa C.,&Watson, James R..(2024).Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,221.
MLA Tilman, Andrew R.,et al."Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 221(2024).
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