Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108194 |
Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts | |
Tilman, Andrew R.; Krueger, Elisabeth H.; McManus, Lisa C.; Watson, James R. | |
通讯作者 | Tilman, AR |
来源期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
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ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2024 |
卷号 | 221 |
英文摘要 | Global environmental change is pushing many socio-environmental systems towards critical thresholds, where ecological systems' states are on the precipice of tipping points and interventions are needed to navigate or avert impending transitions. Flickering, where a system vacillates between alternative stable states, is an early warning signal of transitions to alternative ecological regimes. However, while flickering may presage an ecological tipping point, these dynamics also pose unique challenges for human adaptation. We link an ecological model that can exhibit flickering to a model of human environmental adaptation to explore the impact of flickering on the utility of adaptive agents. When adaptive capacity is low, flickering causes wellbeing to decline disproportionately. As a result, flickering dynamics move forward the optimal timing of a transformational change that can secure wellbeing despite environmental variability. The implications of flickering on communities faced with desertification, fisheries collapse, and ecosystem change are explored as possible case studies. Flickering, driven in part by climate change and extreme events, may already be impacting communities. Our results suggest that governance interventions investing in adaptive capacity or facilitating transformational change before flickering arises could blunt the negative impact of flickering as socio-environmental systems pass through tipping points. |
英文关键词 | Social-ecological systems Critical transitions Early-warning signals Wellbeing Flickering |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | hybrid, Green Submitted |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001230984300001 |
WOS关键词 | EARLY-WARNING SIGNALS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; COASTAL COMMUNITIES ; TIPPING POINTS ; DIVERSIFICATION ; ADAPTATION ; THRESHOLDS ; RISK ; VULNERABILITY ; RESPONSES |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403352 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tilman, Andrew R.,Krueger, Elisabeth H.,McManus, Lisa C.,et al. Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts[J],2024,221. |
APA | Tilman, Andrew R.,Krueger, Elisabeth H.,McManus, Lisa C.,&Watson, James R..(2024).Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,221. |
MLA | Tilman, Andrew R.,et al."Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 221(2024). |
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