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DOI	10.1186/s12870-024-05203-4
	The influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia: Application Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model
	Abebe, Dagnew Melake; Mengistie, Dagne Tesfaye; Mekonen, Aychew Alemie
通讯作者	Mengistie, DT
来源期刊	BMC PLANT BIOLOGY
ISSN	1471-2229
出版年	2024
卷号	24 期号:1
英文摘要	Sesame is a major annual oil crop that is grown practically everywhere in tropical and subtropical Asia, as well as Africa, for its very nutritious and tasty seeds. Rising temperatures, droughts, floods, desertification, and weather all have a significant impact on agricultural production, particularly in developing countries like Ethiopia. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to examine the influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia, by using the autoregressive distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model. This study employed climate data from the Bahirdar Agrometeorological Center and secondary data on sesame production from the Ethiopian Statistical Service, spanning 36 years, from 1987 to 2023. Autoregressive Distributed LAG (ARDL) includes diagnostic tests for both short- and long-term autoregressive models. The results for the long-run and short-run elastic coefficients show a significant positive association between temperatures and sesame yield. Sesame yield and rainfall have a significant negative long-run and short-run relationship in North Gondar, North Ethiopia. ARDL results confirm that temperature and rainfall have significant effects on sesame productivity. Temperature had a considerable favorable effect on sesamen production, but rainfall had a negative effect in North Gondar, Ethiopia. Based on the evidence acquired from our study, we made several policy recommendations and suggestions to government officials, policymakers, new technologies, researchers, policy development planners, and other stakeholders in order to develop or implement new technology to halt its production and direct adaptation measures in light of the certainty of global warming and the characteristics of climate-dependent agricultural production.
英文关键词	Yields of sesame Rainfall Temperature ARDL ECM Co-integration and FE
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001244516300004
WOS关键词	AGRICULTURE ; ADAPTATION
WOS类目	Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向	Plant Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/403059
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Abebe, Dagnew Melake,Mengistie, Dagne Tesfaye,Mekonen, Aychew Alemie. The influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia: Application Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model[J],2024,24(1).
APA	Abebe, Dagnew Melake,Mengistie, Dagne Tesfaye,&Mekonen, Aychew Alemie.(2024).The influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia: Application Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model.BMC PLANT BIOLOGY,24(1).
MLA	Abebe, Dagnew Melake,et al."The influence of climate change on the sesame yield in North Gondar, North Ethiopia: Application Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) time series model".BMC PLANT BIOLOGY 24.1(2024).