干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.123308
	Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study
	Tayyeh, Halah Kadhim; Mohammed, Ruqayah
通讯作者	Tayyeh, HK
来源期刊	APPLIED ENERGY
ISSN	0306-2619
EISSN	1872-9118
出版年	2024
卷号	366
英文摘要	Hydropower is the primary renewable energy source that uses the energy of flowing water streams from rivers and reservoirs, and the hydrological patterns and conditions significantly influence its potential. The study aims to explore how climate change would impact the Euphrates River Basin's discharge patterns, the reservoir's inflow volume, and the potential of future hydropower plants at Haditha dam in the hyper -arid region by using downscaled five General Circulation Models (GCMs) driven by CMIP6 and three scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSPs). The forecasts indicated an overall basin temperature increase (up to 2.3 degrees C) and a significant decrease in precipitation (up to -6.2%). The flow declined by 18.28%, and the reduction in inflow volume of the reservoir ranged from 57 to 44 BCM, a reduction of up to 14.71%. The hydropower -generated output drawdown is up to 15%, ranging from 0.29 to 1.16 TWh per annum. The hydropower performance criteria indices under scenarios (SSP1 - 2.6, SSP2 - 4.5, and SSP5 - 8.5) revealed a downtrend in the resilience index, where the recovery rate (17.63, 34.25, and 41.75%), respectively, indicating that the reservoir requires a relatively long period to meet the target hydropower demand, leading to a vulnerability increase.
英文关键词	CMIP6 Statistical downscaling SWAT model Resilience Vulnerability Hydropower generation Hydrological projections HEC-ResSim 3.3
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001239092500001
WOS关键词	MODEL
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/402855
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tayyeh, Halah Kadhim,Mohammed, Ruqayah. Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study[J],2024,366.
APA	Tayyeh, Halah Kadhim,&Mohammed, Ruqayah.(2024).Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study.APPLIED ENERGY,366.
MLA	Tayyeh, Halah Kadhim,et al."Vulnerability and resilience of hydropower generation under climate change scenarios: Haditha dam reservoir case study".APPLIED ENERGY 366(2024).