干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Analysis of the responses of surface water resources to climate change in arid and semi-arid area

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.agwat.2024.108751
	Analysis of the responses of surface water resources to climate change in arid and semi-arid area
	Wang, Jiankun; Cui, Chenfeng; Jia, Zhenyu; Liu, Mingtao; Pang, Shijie; Zhai, Ke
通讯作者	Cui, CF
来源期刊	AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT
ISSN	0378-3774
EISSN	1873-2283
出版年	2024
卷号	295
英文摘要	About 70% of water withdrawals in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) are used for irrigation, and deeply explanation of the effects of climate change on runoff in the YRB provides a guarantee for agricultural production. Analysis and prediction of climate change were implemented according to the meteorological and hydrological data from 1967 to 2016, and the responses of the catchments of the six hydrological stations on the Yellow River to the different combinations of precipitation and temperature change conditions were explored adopting the Budyko framework, then the results based on the climate scenario simulation and climate elasticity were compared. Our results revealed that the precipitation in the YRB indicated a downward trend (p>0.05) while the temperature showed a upward trend (p<0.01), both which were predicted to climb in the future; the sensitivities of upstream, midstream and downstream runoff to climate change were gradually increased and the catchment characteristics acted a decisive role in determining sensitivities rather than climatic factors, generally, the runoff of different catchments increased by 17.1-30.2% with only 10% increase in precipitation and decreased by 4.2%-12.4% with only 1degree celsius increase in temperature; compared to the climate elasticity, the climate scenario simulation tend to be more accurate as it captured the changes in sensitivities when climate change. The results of this study provide a foundation for the regional development and utilization of water resources in the YRB under the influences of climate change.
英文关键词	Budyko framework Runoff Future prediction
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001222205000001
WOS关键词	YELLOW-RIVER BASIN ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; BUDYKO HYPOTHESIS ; LOESS PLATEAU ; LAND-USE ; RUNOFF ; CHINA ; ELASTICITY ; TRENDS ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
WOS类目	Agronomy ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Agriculture ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/402661
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Jiankun,Cui, Chenfeng,Jia, Zhenyu,et al. Analysis of the responses of surface water resources to climate change in arid and semi-arid area[J],2024,295.
APA	Wang, Jiankun,Cui, Chenfeng,Jia, Zhenyu,Liu, Mingtao,Pang, Shijie,&Zhai, Ke.(2024).Analysis of the responses of surface water resources to climate change in arid and semi-arid area.AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT,295.
MLA	Wang, Jiankun,et al."Analysis of the responses of surface water resources to climate change in arid and semi-arid area".AGRICULTURAL WATER MANAGEMENT 295(2024).