干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Estimating Future Surface Water Availability Through an Integrated Climate-Hydrology-Management Modeling Framework at a Basin Scale Under CMIP6 Scenarios

Arid

DOI	10.1029/2022WR034099
	Estimating Future Surface Water Availability Through an Integrated Climate-Hydrology-Management Modeling Framework at a Basin Scale Under CMIP6 Scenarios
	Shao, Manqing; Fernando, Nelun; Zhu, John; Zhao, Gang; Kao, Shih-Chieh; Zhao, Bingjie; Roberts, Elizabeth; Gao, Huilin
通讯作者	Gao, HL
来源期刊	WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
ISSN	0043-1397
EISSN	1944-7973
出版年	2023
卷号	59 期号:7
英文摘要	Climate change and increasing water demand due to population growth pose serious threats to surface water availability. The biggest challenge in addressing these threats is the gap between climate science and water management practices. Local water planning often lacks the integration of climate change information, especially with regard to its impacts on surface water storage and evaporation as well as the associated uncertainties. Using Texas as an example, state and regional water planning relies on the use of reservoir Firm Yield (FY)-an important metric that quantifies surface water availability. However, this existing planning methodology does not account for the impacts of climate change on future inflows and on reservoir evaporation. To bridge this knowledge gap, an integrated climate-hydrology-management (CHM) modeling framework was developed, which is generally applicable to river basins with geographical, hydrological, and water right settings similar to those in Texas. The framework leverages the advantages of two modeling approaches-the Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) and Water Availability Modeling (WAM). Additionally, the Double Bias Correction Constructed Analogues method is utilized to downscale and incorporate Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 GCMs. Finally, the DHSVM simulated naturalized streamflow and reservoir evaporation rate are input to WAM to simulate reservoir FY. A new term-Ratio of Firm Yield (RFY)-is created to compare how much FY changes under different climate scenarios. The results indicate that climate change has a significant impact on surface water availability by increasing reservoir evaporation, altering the seasonal pattern of naturalized streamflow, and reducing FY.
英文关键词	water availability climate change reservoir firm yield semi-arid area open water evaporation naturalized streamflow
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001023451000001
WOS关键词	CHANGE IMPACTS ; EVAPORATION ; RESERVOIR ; UNCERTAINTY ; TEMPERATURE ; VARIABILITY ; RESOURCES ; DROUGHT ; STATES ; CITY
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/399157
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shao, Manqing,Fernando, Nelun,Zhu, John,et al. Estimating Future Surface Water Availability Through an Integrated Climate-Hydrology-Management Modeling Framework at a Basin Scale Under CMIP6 Scenarios[J],2023,59(7).
APA	Shao, Manqing.,Fernando, Nelun.,Zhu, John.,Zhao, Gang.,Kao, Shih-Chieh.,...&Gao, Huilin.(2023).Estimating Future Surface Water Availability Through an Integrated Climate-Hydrology-Management Modeling Framework at a Basin Scale Under CMIP6 Scenarios.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,59(7).
MLA	Shao, Manqing,et al."Estimating Future Surface Water Availability Through an Integrated Climate-Hydrology-Management Modeling Framework at a Basin Scale Under CMIP6 Scenarios".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 59.7(2023).