干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s11269-022-03267-1
	Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions
	Elnashar, Walaa; Elyamany, Ahmed
通讯作者	Elyamany, A
来源期刊	WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT
ISSN	0920-4741
EISSN	1573-1650
出版年	2023
卷号	37 期号:6-7 页码:2429-2446
英文摘要	Abnormal changes in temperature, precipitation, atmospheric carbon dioxide, or solar radiation are examples of climate change that may affect irrigation water demand. Studies show an increasing trend in the earth's surface temperature, with decreasing trends in rainfall. With most studies focused on predicting the extent of climate change, fewer studies focused on developing appropriate response strategies. This paper aims to propose a systematic approach to identify, analyze, and respond to the risks of climate change on irrigation water in arid regions using the Risk Management process. The compound effect of these risks was analysed using Monte Carlo Simulation, which indicated a 69% loss in crop production due to climate change at a 90% confidence level. The proposed responses to the risks of climate change include strategies to avoid, transfer, mitigate, and/or accept these risks. The study has made three contributions to the state of the art. First, to adopt a well-recognized risk management methodology in climate change studies. Second, to quantify the compound effect of climate change risks on irrigation water in arid regions. Third, to recommend a set of response strategies to help policymakers mitigate the inevitable harmful effect of climate change on irrigation water.
英文关键词	Risk management Climate change Arid regions Mitigation Strategies Monte Carlo Simulation PMI
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000834731600001
WOS关键词	CHANGE IMPACTS ; ADAPTATION ; VARIABILITY ; MANAGEMENT ; RUNOFF ; FOOD
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Engineering ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/399145
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Elnashar, Walaa,Elyamany, Ahmed. Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions[J],2023,37(6-7):2429-2446.
APA	Elnashar, Walaa,&Elyamany, Ahmed.(2023).Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions.WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT,37(6-7),2429-2446.
MLA	Elnashar, Walaa,et al."Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions".WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT 37.6-7(2023):2429-2446.