干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele-Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS-Markov Model Analysis

Arid

DOI	10.3390/w15203652
	Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele-Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS-Markov Model Analysis
	Jia, Guangwei; Li, Sheng; Jie, Feilong; Ge, Yanyan; Liu, Na; Liang, Fuli
通讯作者	Li, S
来源期刊	WATER
EISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2023
卷号	15 期号:20
英文摘要	This study employs the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Response (DPSR) framework to establish an evaluation index system for the water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) in the Cele-Yutian Oasis (China). Utilizing the TOPSIS and obstacle degree models, we analyze the trends in the WRCC and its main hindrance factors in the Cele-Yutian Oasis from 2005 to 2020. Additionally, we employ the Markov model to investigate the dynamic changes in the land use types. The findings reveal that the most unfavorable WRCC status occurred in 2007, with a Grade IV rating (a mild overload). By 2020, the WRCC improved to a Grade III rating (critical), indicating a positive trajectory. However, persistent challenges for water resources remain, with a prolonged critical state. Over the past 15 years, the grassland area has decreased by 15.18%, and the forest area has decreased by 50%. The dynamic degree of grassland, forests, and water bodies is negative, signifying shifts to other land types, with water bodies undergoing the most significant change at -10.16%. Based on the outcomes of these two models, we propose regionally tailored measures to support sustainable development. These research results provide a scientific foundation for optimal water resource allocation and sustainable development in the Cele-Yutian Oasis Economic Belt.
英文关键词	water resource carrying capacity TOPSIS model barrier degree Markov model Celle-Yutian Oasis
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001093662500001
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/399091
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jia, Guangwei,Li, Sheng,Jie, Feilong,et al. Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele-Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS-Markov Model Analysis[J],2023,15(20).
APA	Jia, Guangwei,Li, Sheng,Jie, Feilong,Ge, Yanyan,Liu, Na,&Liang, Fuli.(2023).Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele-Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS-Markov Model Analysis.WATER,15(20).
MLA	Jia, Guangwei,et al."Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele-Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS-Markov Model Analysis".WATER 15.20(2023).