干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): System Dynamics Approach for Water Resources Management: A Case Study from the Souss-Massa Basin

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DOI	10.3390/w15081506
	System Dynamics Approach for Water Resources Management: A Case Study from the Souss-Massa Basin
	Guemouria, Ayoub; Chehbouni, Abdelghani; Belaqziz, Salwa; Epule, Terence Epule; Brahim, Yassine Ait; El Khalki, El Mahdi; Dhiba, Driss; Bouchaou, Lhoussaine
通讯作者	Guemouria, A
来源期刊	WATER
EISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2023
卷号	15 期号:8
英文摘要	In several areas, many social, economic, and physical subsystems interact around water resources. Integrated water management is applied to maximize economic and social welfare in an equitable manner without compromising the sustainability of vital ecosystems, mainly in hydrologic-stressed areas. The Souss-Massa basin, with its semi-arid climate, has a significant demand for agricultural, industrial, tourism, and domestic water. It constitutes a complex system where the lack of knowledge of all the interacting subsystems has led to a shortage of water in quantity and quality. The objective of this study is to investigate the interactions between supply and demand at different stages using a System Dynamics (SD) approach. The model developed promotes a holistic understanding of the interactions between the different problem indicators that operate in water resources management in order to support decision-making action and successfully manage water resources at the Souss-Massa basin scale. The chosen performance indicator is based on the achievement of a baseline sustainability index (SI) defined as the ratio of available water to supply water that should be higher than 20% to avoid a water stress situation. The multisource data were gathered from different government agencies for the period spanning between 2007 and 2020. The results showed that the current policies do not lead to sustainable water management. Groundwater withdrawals have increased considerably, from 747 Mm(3) in 2007 to 4884 Mm(3) in 2020. The balance between water supply and demand is only reached for three years, 2010, 2015, and 2018, without ever reaching an SI of 20%. The sensitivity analysis showed that the sustainability of water resources in the Souss-Massa basin is mainly impacted by the availability of surface water, irrigated areas, and irrigation efficiency. This study will be of great interest to policymakers to provide optimal and sustainable water management strategies based on improved water use efficiency, and to contribute to the sustainable development agenda in arid and semi-arid regions.
英文关键词	systems dynamics water resource management sustainable development global changes Souss-Massa basin
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000979441800001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ADAPTATION ; RIVER-BASIN ; PART 1 ; MODEL ; SIMULATION ; OPTIMIZATION ; THINKING ; FUTURE ; SUSTAINABILITY ; CALIBRATION
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/399016
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guemouria, Ayoub,Chehbouni, Abdelghani,Belaqziz, Salwa,et al. System Dynamics Approach for Water Resources Management: A Case Study from the Souss-Massa Basin[J],2023,15(8).
APA	Guemouria, Ayoub.,Chehbouni, Abdelghani.,Belaqziz, Salwa.,Epule, Terence Epule.,Brahim, Yassine Ait.,...&Bouchaou, Lhoussaine.(2023).System Dynamics Approach for Water Resources Management: A Case Study from the Souss-Massa Basin.WATER,15(8).
MLA	Guemouria, Ayoub,et al."System Dynamics Approach for Water Resources Management: A Case Study from the Souss-Massa Basin".WATER 15.8(2023).