Arid
DOI10.3390/su152015054
A Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach for Allocation of Pistachio Processing Facilities: A Case Study of Zarand, Iran
Sirizi, Mohammad Ebrahimi; Zirvani, Esmaeil Taghavi; Esmailzadeh, Abdulsalam; Khosravian, Jafar; Ahmadi, Reyhaneh; Mijani, Naeim; Soltannia, Reyhaneh; Arsanjani, Jamal Jokar
通讯作者Mijani, N
来源期刊SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN2071-1050
出版年2023
卷号15期号:20
英文摘要Site selection and allocation of manufacturing and processing facilities are essential to sustainable economic productivity of a given product while preserving soil, the environment, and biodiversity. An essential criterion when evaluating various approaches to model land suitability for pistachio processing facilities is their adaptability to accommodate diverse perspectives and circumstances of managers and decision makers. Incorporating the concept of risk into the decision-making process stands as a significant research gap in modeling land suitability for pistachio processing facilities. This study presents a scenario-based multi-criteria decision-making system for modeling the land suitability of pistachio processing facilities. The model was implemented based on a stakeholder analysis as well as inclusion of a set of influential criteria and restrictions for an Iranian case study, which is among the top three producers. The weight of each criterion was determined based on the best-worst method (BWM) after the stakeholder analysis. Then, the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) model was used to prepare maps of spatial potential for building a pistachio processing factory in different decision-making scenarios, including very pessimistic, pessimistic, intermediate, optimistic, and very optimistic attitudes. Finally, the sensitivity analysis of very-high- and high-potential regions to changes in the weight of the effective criteria was evaluated and proved that the most important criteria were proximity to pistachio orchards, proximity to residential areas, proximity to the road network, and proximity to industrial areas. Overall, 327 km2 of the study area was classified as restricted, meaning that they are not suitable locations for pistachio processing. The average estimated potential values based on the proposed model for very pessimistic, pessimistic, intermediate, optimistic, and very optimistic scenarios were 0.19, 0.47, 0.63, 0.78, and 0.97, respectively. The very-high-potential class covered 0, 0.41, 8.25, 39.64, and 99.78 percent of the study area based on these scenarios, respectively. The area of suitable regions for investment decreased by increasing risk aversion in decision making. The model was more sensitive to changes in the weights of proximity to residential areas, proximity to pistachio orchards, and proximity to transportation hubs. The proposed approach and the achieved findings could be of broader use to respective stakeholders and investors. Given the suitability of arid regions for planting pistachio and its relatively high profitability, the local authorities and decision makers can promote further expansion of the orchards, which can lead to better welfare of farmers and reducing rural-urban migration in the region.
英文关键词facilities' allocation assessment GIS-MCDA risk based pistachio sensitivity analysis
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型gold, Green Published
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:001090026000001
WOS关键词LAND SUITABILITY ANALYSIS ; PLANT SITE SELECTION ; WEIGHTED AVERAGING OWA ; GIS ; AHP ; AGRICULTURE
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/398846
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sirizi, Mohammad Ebrahimi,Zirvani, Esmaeil Taghavi,Esmailzadeh, Abdulsalam,et al. A Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach for Allocation of Pistachio Processing Facilities: A Case Study of Zarand, Iran[J],2023,15(20).
APA Sirizi, Mohammad Ebrahimi.,Zirvani, Esmaeil Taghavi.,Esmailzadeh, Abdulsalam.,Khosravian, Jafar.,Ahmadi, Reyhaneh.,...&Arsanjani, Jamal Jokar.(2023).A Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach for Allocation of Pistachio Processing Facilities: A Case Study of Zarand, Iran.SUSTAINABILITY,15(20).
MLA Sirizi, Mohammad Ebrahimi,et al."A Scenario-Based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Approach for Allocation of Pistachio Processing Facilities: A Case Study of Zarand, Iran".SUSTAINABILITY 15.20(2023).
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