干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) for Mexico: An Approach for Mexico's Primary Harvest Area

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su15107737
	Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) for Mexico: An Approach for Mexico's Primary Harvest Area
	Martinez-Sifuentes, Aldo Rafael; Estrada-Avalos, Juan; Trucios-Caciano, Ramon; Villanueva-Diaz, Jose; Lopez-Hernandez, Nuria Aide; Lopez-Favela, Juan de Dios
通讯作者	Estrada-Avalos, J
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2023
卷号	15 期号:10
英文摘要	Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) is a non-timber forest resource of ecological and economic importance in the arid zones of Mexico due to the commercialization of its wax for industrial purposes. The objectives of this study were (i) to delimit areas of current and projected future candelilla habitat suitability in Mexico and in the state of Coahuila, (ii) to determine the most important variables that define candelilla habitat, and (iii) to propose areas for candelilla conservation under climate change conditions in Coahuila. Records of candelilla presence, current and future bioclimatic layers from the MPIESM-LR and HadGEM2-ES models with two scenarios RCP 4.5 and 8.5, were used to create species distribution models with soil and topographical variables. MaxEnt software was used to project current habitat suitability zones under climate change. We estimated the current surface area of candelilla in Mexico to be 79,336.87 km(2), and for Coahuila 25,620.75 km(2). In Coahuila, using the MPIESM-LR model for 2050, the estimate was 20,177.67 km(2) and 17,079.61 km(2) for RCP scenarios 4.5 and 8.5; while for 2070, the estimate was 12,487.18 km(2) and 9812.94 km(2) for RCP scenarios 4.5 and 8.5. For the HadGEM2-ES model for 2050, the estimate was 20,066.40 km(2) and 17,079.61 km(2); for 2070 it was 17,156.02 km(2) and 16,073.70 km(2). As proposed areas for conservation of candelilla in the face of climate change, we estimated 5435.06 km(2) and 3636.96 km(2). The study area was located in the northwest and center of the state of Coahuila, near the natural protected areas of Ocampo and Bajo Rio San Juan, areas that are resilient to climate change. The results obtained provide information on the environmental and site conditions for the establishment of candelilla in Mexico, as well as the geographical areas, such as Sierra y Canon de Jimulco, Tomas Garrido, 026 Bajo Rio San Juan, Zapaliname, Zapaliname, and Cumbres de Monterrey Restoration Zones for the conservation of the species under local climate change scenarios. In addition, new areas in the northwest and center of Coahuila could be used to establish new protected areas for this economically important species.
英文关键词	Coahuila conservation climate change MaxEnt
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000997991200001
WOS关键词	ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELS ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; COMPLEXITY ; ACCURACY ; HABITAT ; IMPROVE ; MAXENT ; WAX
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/398794
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Martinez-Sifuentes, Aldo Rafael,Estrada-Avalos, Juan,Trucios-Caciano, Ramon,et al. Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) for Mexico: An Approach for Mexico's Primary Harvest Area[J],2023,15(10).
APA	Martinez-Sifuentes, Aldo Rafael,Estrada-Avalos, Juan,Trucios-Caciano, Ramon,Villanueva-Diaz, Jose,Lopez-Hernandez, Nuria Aide,&Lopez-Favela, Juan de Dios.(2023).Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) for Mexico: An Approach for Mexico's Primary Harvest Area.SUSTAINABILITY,15(10).
MLA	Martinez-Sifuentes, Aldo Rafael,et al."Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Candelilla (Euphorbia antisyphilitica Zucc.) for Mexico: An Approach for Mexico's Primary Harvest Area".SUSTAINABILITY 15.10(2023).