干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): FLUS Based Modeling of the Urban LULC in Arid and Semi-Arid Region of Northwest China: A Case Study of Urumqi City

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su15064912
	FLUS Based Modeling of the Urban LULC in Arid and Semi-Arid Region of Northwest China: A Case Study of Urumqi City
	Mamitimin, Yusuyunjiang; Simayi, Zibibula; Mamat, Ayinuer; Maimaiti, Bumairiyemu; Ma, Yunfei
通讯作者	Mamitimin, Y
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2023
卷号	15 期号:6
英文摘要	Modeling land use and land cover (LULC) change is important for understanding its spatiotemporal trends and plays a crucial role in land use planning and natural resources management. To this end, this study assessed the spatiotemporal characteristics of the LULC changes in Urumqi city between 1980 and 2020. In addition, future LULC was successfully projected for 2030 and 2050 under different scenarios based on the FLUS model. This model was validated using actual and simulated land use data for 2020. The kappa coefficient and figure of merit of the simulation results for 2020 were 0.87 and 0.114, respectively, indicating that the simulation accuracy was satisfactory. The results demonstrated that grassland was the major land use type, with the area accounting for more than 50% of the study area. From 1980 to 2020, urban land greatly expanded, while grassland decreased significantly. Urban land increased from 353.51 km(2) to 884.27 km(2), while grassland decreased from 7903.4 km(2) to 7414.92 km(2) from 1980 to 2020. In addition, significant transitions mainly occurred between grasslands, cultivated lands and urban lands. Grassland and cultivated land were converted into urban land, resulting in rapid urban expansion over the last 40 years. From 1990 to 2000, grassland was converted into urban land with an area of 341.08 km(2). Finally, the simulation results of the LULC showed that urban land is expected to increase under all three scenarios, and cultivated land, grassland and forest land are effectively protected under the Cultivated Land Protection Scenario (CPS) and Ecological Protection Scenario (EPS) compared to the Baseline Scenario (BLS). This study assessed the spatiotemporal characteristics and transitions of LULC between 1980 and 2020, and successfully projected LULC for 2035 and 2050 in Urumqi City in the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China based on the FLUS model, which has not been investigated in previous studies.
英文关键词	LULC arid region FLUS model urbanization
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000958080600001
WOS关键词	LAND-USE CHANGE ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; MARKOV-CHAIN ; GROWTH BOUNDARIES ; PREDICTION ; EXPANSION ; CITIES
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/398776
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mamitimin, Yusuyunjiang,Simayi, Zibibula,Mamat, Ayinuer,et al. FLUS Based Modeling of the Urban LULC in Arid and Semi-Arid Region of Northwest China: A Case Study of Urumqi City[J],2023,15(6).
APA	Mamitimin, Yusuyunjiang,Simayi, Zibibula,Mamat, Ayinuer,Maimaiti, Bumairiyemu,&Ma, Yunfei.(2023).FLUS Based Modeling of the Urban LULC in Arid and Semi-Arid Region of Northwest China: A Case Study of Urumqi City.SUSTAINABILITY,15(6).
MLA	Mamitimin, Yusuyunjiang,et al."FLUS Based Modeling of the Urban LULC in Arid and Semi-Arid Region of Northwest China: A Case Study of Urumqi City".SUSTAINABILITY 15.6(2023).