干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological-Economic-Social Systems in Urban Agglomerations in Arid Regions-A Case Study of Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi Urban Agglomeration

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su15065414
	Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological-Economic-Social Systems in Urban Agglomerations in Arid Regions-A Case Study of Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi Urban Agglomeration
	Zhang, Xiaofen; Simayi, Zibibula; Yang, Shengtian; Mamitimin, Yusuyunjiang; Shen, Fang; Zhang, Yunyi
通讯作者	Simayi, Z
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2023
卷号	15 期号:6
英文摘要	This study aims to clarify the vulnerability characteristics of the ecological-economic-social system of oasis city clusters in arid zones, promote the deepening of research on the sustainable development of urban clusters, and provide crucial practical reference significance for solving the series of problems brought about by urbanization. This article takes the arid zone oasis city cluster, the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration, as the research object and constructs an indicator system from three dimensions of ecological environment, regional economic, and social development, and adopts the comprehensive index method, GeoDetector, the GM(1, 1) gray prediction model, and other methods to study the vulnerability pattern and spatial and temporal changes of the urban cluster from 2009 to 2018. The results show that (1) from 2009 to 2018, the change in the integrated ecological-economic-social system vulnerability index of the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration shows a general downward trend, followed by significant differences in the vulnerability of each dimension, with an average vulnerability index of 1.8846, 1.6377, and 0.9831 for the social vulnerability, regional economic, and ecological environment dimensions, respectively; (2) the evolution of the spatial pattern of changes in the vulnerability index of different systems in each region of the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration tends to change from large to slight spatial differences, in which the social and ecological environmental vulnerability changes are more prominent in addition to the vulnerability changes of the regional economy; (3) parkland area per capita, arable land area per capita, GDP per capita, social fixed asset investment, population density, and urban road area per capita are the main drivers of decreasing vulnerability of ecological-economic-social systems in urban agglomerations; (4) by predicting and calculating the vulnerability index of each region of the ecological-economic-social system of urban agglomerations, it is found that the vulnerability index of urban agglomerations will show a decreasing trend from 2009 to 2018, and the difference of the vulnerability index between systems will narrow; (5) finally, targeted countermeasures and suggestions to reduce the vulnerability of ecological-economic-social systems are proposed to provide scientific references for the sustainable development of arid oasis cities.
英文关键词	vulnerability assessment oasis urban agglomerations in arid zones trend prediction evaluation indicator system Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi urban agglomeration
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000958878200001
WOS关键词	ENVIRONMENTAL VULNERABILITY ; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CITIES ; RISK ; CITY ; GIS
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/398774
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Xiaofen,Simayi, Zibibula,Yang, Shengtian,et al. Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological-Economic-Social Systems in Urban Agglomerations in Arid Regions-A Case Study of Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi Urban Agglomeration[J],2023,15(6).
APA	Zhang, Xiaofen,Simayi, Zibibula,Yang, Shengtian,Mamitimin, Yusuyunjiang,Shen, Fang,&Zhang, Yunyi.(2023).Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological-Economic-Social Systems in Urban Agglomerations in Arid Regions-A Case Study of Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi Urban Agglomeration.SUSTAINABILITY,15(6).
MLA	Zhang, Xiaofen,et al."Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological-Economic-Social Systems in Urban Agglomerations in Arid Regions-A Case Study of Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi Urban Agglomeration".SUSTAINABILITY 15.6(2023).