干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Evaluation and Prediction of Land Use Ecological Security in the Kashgar Region Based on Grid GIS

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su15010040
	Evaluation and Prediction of Land Use Ecological Security in the Kashgar Region Based on Grid GIS
	Ran, Hong; Ma, Yonggang; Xu, Zhonglin
通讯作者	Ma, YG
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2023
卷号	15 期号:1
英文摘要	Predicting trends in land use/cover change (LUCC) and assessing future ecological security (ES) can help effectively balance regional ecological conservation and economic development. In this study, a land use simulation model was used to predict the spatial-temporal variation in land use in Kashgar in 2030 under three scenarios (inertial development, agricultural land protection, and forest and rangeland conservation). Subsequently, by combining the pressure-state-response model and predicted land use, the ES of the Kashgar region in 2000, 2010, and 2020 were evaluated. We found that (1) only agricultural land and built-up land in the Kashgar region increased from 2000-2020 by 4174.79 and 434.44 km(2), respectively. (2) The area of the region belonging to a generally safe level or above decreased from 38.36% in 2000 to 36.89% in 2010 and then increased to 37.71% in 2020. (3) In 2030, the ES status under the three scenarios will be improved, among which the agricultural land protection scenario corresponds to the best ES status. This research is valuable for deeply understanding the interaction mechanism between LUCC and ES in typical artificial oases in arid areas of the Kashgar region and sustaining relatively stable internal structures and socioeconomic activities in the arid oasis of the Kashgar region.
英文关键词	ecological security LUCC PLUS the Kashgar region
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000910519200001
WOS关键词	SIMULATION ; SCALE ; MODEL
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/398739
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ran, Hong,Ma, Yonggang,Xu, Zhonglin. Evaluation and Prediction of Land Use Ecological Security in the Kashgar Region Based on Grid GIS[J],2023,15(1).
APA	Ran, Hong,Ma, Yonggang,&Xu, Zhonglin.(2023).Evaluation and Prediction of Land Use Ecological Security in the Kashgar Region Based on Grid GIS.SUSTAINABILITY,15(1).
MLA	Ran, Hong,et al."Evaluation and Prediction of Land Use Ecological Security in the Kashgar Region Based on Grid GIS".SUSTAINABILITY 15.1(2023).