干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Testing drought indicators for summer burned area prediction in Italy

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s11069-022-05714-z
	Testing drought indicators for summer burned area prediction in Italy
	Vissio, Gabriele; Turco, Marco; Provenzale, Antonello
通讯作者	Vissio, G
来源期刊	NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN	0921-030X
EISSN	1573-0840
出版年	2023
卷号	116 期号:1 页码:1125-1137
英文摘要	During the summer season, the Italian territory is vulnerable to extended wildfires, which can have dramatic impact on human activities and ecosystems. Such wildfire events are usually associated with the presence of drought conditions and are generally more severe in southern Italy, owing to the high temperatures and reduced precipitation that characterize this geographical region. In this work, we discuss the statistical analysis of the burned area (BA) in Italy and build simple data-driven models linking BA to different climatic drivers, comparing the relevance of direct surface soil moisture information to that provided by drought indices such as the Standardized Precipitation Index and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). We show that considering surface soil moisture alone is sufficient to produce reliable out-of-sample predictions in a large part of the country. By contrast, SPEI allows for better model performances in the more arid regions.
英文关键词	Wildfires Climatic drivers Soil moisture Drought indicators Empirical models Fire prediction
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000885241600001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WILDFIRES ; WEATHER ; FLAMMABILITY ; PROJECTIONS ; EUROPE
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397884
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Vissio, Gabriele,Turco, Marco,Provenzale, Antonello. Testing drought indicators for summer burned area prediction in Italy[J],2023,116(1):1125-1137.
APA	Vissio, Gabriele,Turco, Marco,&Provenzale, Antonello.(2023).Testing drought indicators for summer burned area prediction in Italy.NATURAL HAZARDS,116(1),1125-1137.
MLA	Vissio, Gabriele,et al."Testing drought indicators for summer burned area prediction in Italy".NATURAL HAZARDS 116.1(2023):1125-1137.