干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s11069-022-05673-5
	Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors
	Pang, Jianzhuang; Zhang, Huilan
通讯作者	Zhang, HL
来源期刊	NATURAL HAZARDS
ISSN	0921-030X
EISSN	1573-0840
出版年	2023
卷号	116 期号:1 页码:267-293
英文摘要	Developing an index that can assess the marked changes in water resources is necessary for drought/flood hazard prevention and water resource planning, particularly in the context of global climate change and intensified human activities. In this study, spatiotemporal variations of water resources variables, namely precipitation (P), evapotranspiration (ET), and runoff (R), regarded as water input, output, and storage, respectively, were systematically statistically analyzed. Following this, a comprehensive Copula-based Drought/Flood Index (CDFI) was constructed to identify the drought/flood hazards, and machine learning and game theory were then successively applied to quantify the influence of the Large-scale Climate Indices (LCIs) on drought/flood intensity. The results reveal that temporally, P, ET, and R present similar turning-point years in the 1990s, with values changing from significantly decreasing to insignificantly decreasing, significantly increasing, and insignificantly decreasing, respectively. Spatially, the water resources become drier in the arid area and wetter in the humid area. The CDFI results demonstrate an increased flood probability in the mountains and near-polar rivers, and drought in extremely arid areas. Moreover, the influencing factors of CDFI exhibited notable spatial heterogeneity. CDFI is controlled by the Arctic Oscillation in most regions of the world, and the influence of sea surface temperature on CDFI increases gradually with the decrease of latitude, and extreme events are generally linked to extreme LCIs. Notably, vegetation change (area, type, and growth) affects ET and R, thus enhancing the climate's impact on drought/flood hazards. The conclusions provide an essential basis for the identification and policy planning of drought/flood hazards caused by the spatiotemporal variations of water resource variables.
英文关键词	Copula-based drought flood index GLDAS SHAP Large-scale climate indices Importance analysis Water resources
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000869607000002
WOS关键词	ARCTIC OSCILLATION ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; SUMMER PRECIPITATION ; HYDROLOGICAL MODEL ; RIVER-BASIN ; FLOOD EVENT ; CLIMATE ; VARIABILITY ; PRODUCTS ; CHINA
WOS类目	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397883
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pang, Jianzhuang,Zhang, Huilan. Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors[J],2023,116(1):267-293.
APA	Pang, Jianzhuang,&Zhang, Huilan.(2023).Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors.NATURAL HAZARDS,116(1),267-293.
MLA	Pang, Jianzhuang,et al."Global map of a comprehensive drought/flood index and analysis of controlling environmental factors".NATURAL HAZARDS 116.1(2023):267-293.