Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s11027-023-10082-5 |
Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries | |
Abbas, Mariam; Ribeiro, Paulo Flores; Santos, Jose Lima | |
通讯作者 | Abbas, M |
来源期刊 | MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
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ISSN | 1381-2386 |
EISSN | 1573-1596 |
出版年 | 2023 |
卷号 | 28期号:8 |
英文摘要 | Developing countries are considered extremely vulnerable to climate change, due to their socioeconomic context (high levels of poverty) and high dependence of their livelihoods on natural resources. Rural areas in these countries concentrate most of the poorest and food-insecure people in the world, with farmers being among the most vulnerable to climate change. The impacts of climate change are expected to be spatially heterogeneous. In this sense, this paper aims at exploring the direct, marginal effect of climate change on farming system choice and its implications to food security in Mozambique, using a space-for-time approach. Our results suggest that major changes are to be expected in farming system choice and their spatial distribution due to climate change, which will potentially impact the livelihoods and food security status of smallholder farmers. Farming systems including food/cash crops and/or livestock, which are among the most food secure, will tend to be replaced by other systems in all climate scenarios. Mixed farming systems (including food and livestock) and livestock-oriented systems, mostly food insecure, predominant in arid areas are expected to expand with climate change. Food security and innovation stress maps were sketched out from the modelling results, identifying priority areas for public intervention. We also highlight how our approach can be an effective and easily replicable framework to address this type of issues in other developing regions facing similar problems. |
英文关键词 | Farming system change Food security Climate scenarios Adaptation policy Developing countries |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | hybrid |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001071408200001 |
WOS关键词 | SPACE ; TIME |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397863 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Abbas, Mariam,Ribeiro, Paulo Flores,Santos, Jose Lima. Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries[J],2023,28(8). |
APA | Abbas, Mariam,Ribeiro, Paulo Flores,&Santos, Jose Lima.(2023).Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,28(8). |
MLA | Abbas, Mariam,et al."Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 28.8(2023). |
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