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DOI	10.1007/s11027-023-10082-5
	Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries
	Abbas, Mariam; Ribeiro, Paulo Flores; Santos, Jose Lima
通讯作者	Abbas, M
来源期刊	MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE
ISSN	1381-2386
EISSN	1573-1596
出版年	2023
卷号	28 期号:8
英文摘要	Developing countries are considered extremely vulnerable to climate change, due to their socioeconomic context (high levels of poverty) and high dependence of their livelihoods on natural resources. Rural areas in these countries concentrate most of the poorest and food-insecure people in the world, with farmers being among the most vulnerable to climate change. The impacts of climate change are expected to be spatially heterogeneous. In this sense, this paper aims at exploring the direct, marginal effect of climate change on farming system choice and its implications to food security in Mozambique, using a space-for-time approach. Our results suggest that major changes are to be expected in farming system choice and their spatial distribution due to climate change, which will potentially impact the livelihoods and food security status of smallholder farmers. Farming systems including food/cash crops and/or livestock, which are among the most food secure, will tend to be replaced by other systems in all climate scenarios. Mixed farming systems (including food and livestock) and livestock-oriented systems, mostly food insecure, predominant in arid areas are expected to expand with climate change. Food security and innovation stress maps were sketched out from the modelling results, identifying priority areas for public intervention. We also highlight how our approach can be an effective and easily replicable framework to address this type of issues in other developing regions facing similar problems.
英文关键词	Farming system change Food security Climate scenarios Adaptation policy Developing countries
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	hybrid
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001071408200001
WOS关键词	SPACE ; TIME
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397863
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Abbas, Mariam,Ribeiro, Paulo Flores,Santos, Jose Lima. Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries[J],2023,28(8).
APA	Abbas, Mariam,Ribeiro, Paulo Flores,&Santos, Jose Lima.(2023).Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries.MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE,28(8).
MLA	Abbas, Mariam,et al."Farming system change under different climate scenarios and its impact on food security: an analytical framework to inform adaptation policy in developing countries".MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION STRATEGIES FOR GLOBAL CHANGE 28.8(2023).