干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106554
	Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone
	Geng, Xin; Hu, Shi; Wang, Xunming; Cai, Diwen; Gong, Yuan
通讯作者	Wang, XM
来源期刊	LAND USE POLICY
ISSN	0264-8377
EISSN	1873-5754
出版年	2023
卷号	126
英文摘要	Land use and cover change (LUCC), as an adaptation and confrontation of landowners to environmental changes, plays an essential role in supporting multiple goals of sustainable development. However, the driving process and prospects of LUCC remain unclear at the regional scale. Using remote sensing methods, trend analysis, binary logistic regression models and open-scenario-based forecasting, this study explored the spatio-temporal pattern and driving factors of LUCC in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northeast China (APENE) from 2001 to 2018, revealed potential risks in land-use patterns and key issues in current policies, and proposed targeted suggestions. Results showed that over the past two decades, the areas of forest and farmland increased by 67.55 % and by 31.64 % and that of grassland decreased by 14.58 % via the transition from farmland to grassland, grassland to farmland, and grassland to forest in the mode of edge expansion in the APENE, with 60.76 % areas were greening, while 1.04 % browning. The driving force of LUCC varied greatly with space and land use type, and natural factors play dominant roles in LUCC in the APENE. Over 70 % of farmland might be abandoned under the impact of future climate change, and serious conflict between afforestation investment and forest adaptation. The lack of scientific regulation of farmland quality and ecosystem adaptability were major problems in current policies. More positive economic and regulatory policies to benefit farmers and foresters should be adopted to further improve the talent and financial attractiveness of the agricultural production and desertification -combating practices and to fundamentally solve the current dilemma of food security and ecological construction.
英文关键词	Land use and cover change (LUCC) Agro-pastoral ecotone Binary logistic regression model Open-scenario Land use policy
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000925795100001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; DRIVING FORCES ; COVER CHANGE ; FOREST ; SYSTEM ; DROUGHT ; DESERTIFICATION ; ABANDONMENT ; DYNAMICS ; PATTERNS
WOS类目	Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397774
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Geng, Xin,Hu, Shi,Wang, Xunming,et al. Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone[J],2023,126.
APA	Geng, Xin,Hu, Shi,Wang, Xunming,Cai, Diwen,&Gong, Yuan.(2023).Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone.LAND USE POLICY,126.
MLA	Geng, Xin,et al."Adaptive change of land use to nature and society in China?s agro-pastoral ecotone".LAND USE POLICY 126(2023).