干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Where Will Threatened Aegle marmelos L., a Tree of the Semi-Arid Region, Go under Climate Change? Implications for the Reintroduction of the Species

Arid

DOI	10.3390/land12071433
	Where Will Threatened Aegle marmelos L., a Tree of the Semi-Arid Region, Go under Climate Change? Implications for the Reintroduction of the Species
	Waheed, Muhammad; Haq, Shiekh Marifatul; Arshad, Fahim; Jameel, Muhammad Azhar; Siddiqui, Manzer H. H.; Bussmann, Rainer W. W.; Manshoor, Nabeel; Alamri, Saud
通讯作者	Haq, SM
来源期刊	LAND
EISSN	2073-445X
出版年	2023
卷号	12 期号:7
英文摘要	The conservation of threatened species and the restoration of ecosystems have emerged as crucial ecological prerequisites in the context of a changing global environment. One such species of significant commercial value is the Bael tree, scientifically known as Aegle marmelos, which is native to semi-arid regions in Pakistan. However, the species faces threats in Pakistan due to overexploitation and changing land use. To support sustainable production practices and agricultural planning, it is important to investigate how climate change has affected the geographic distribution of Aegle marmelos. Additionally, the impact of climate change on its frequency and distribution remains uncertain. To address these concerns, we employed species distribution modeling techniques using MaxEnt and GIS to predict the present and future distribution of favorable habitats for Aegle marmelos. Based on our findings, several key bioclimatic variables were identified as significant influencers of Aegle marmelos distribution. These variables include soil bulk density (bdod), isothermality (bio03), precipitation during the warmest quarter (bio18), and mean temperature during the wettest quarter (bio08). Currently, the potential suitable habitat for Aegle marmelos spans an area of approximately 396,869 square kilometers, primarily concentrated in the regions of Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Balochistan in Pakistan. The habitats deemed highly suitable for Aegle marmelos are predominantly found in upper and central Punjab. However, if climate change persists, the suitable habitats in Pakistan are likely to become more fragmented, resulting in a significant shift in the overall suitable area. Moreover, the distribution center of the species is expected to relocate towards the southeast, leading to increased spatial separation over time. The results of this research significantly contribute to our understanding of the geo-ecological aspects related to Aegle marmelos. Furthermore, they provide valuable recommendations for the protection, management, monitoring, and sustainable production of this species.
英文关键词	climate change ecological modeling suitable habitats threatened tree bael fruit
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:001035984600001
WOS关键词	DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; MAXENT ; SELECTION ; PLANT ; BAEL ; BIAS
WOS类目	Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397670
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Waheed, Muhammad,Haq, Shiekh Marifatul,Arshad, Fahim,et al. Where Will Threatened Aegle marmelos L., a Tree of the Semi-Arid Region, Go under Climate Change? Implications for the Reintroduction of the Species[J],2023,12(7).
APA	Waheed, Muhammad.,Haq, Shiekh Marifatul.,Arshad, Fahim.,Jameel, Muhammad Azhar.,Siddiqui, Manzer H. H..,...&Alamri, Saud.(2023).Where Will Threatened Aegle marmelos L., a Tree of the Semi-Arid Region, Go under Climate Change? Implications for the Reintroduction of the Species.LAND,12(7).
MLA	Waheed, Muhammad,et al."Where Will Threatened Aegle marmelos L., a Tree of the Semi-Arid Region, Go under Climate Change? Implications for the Reintroduction of the Species".LAND 12.7(2023).