干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Predictions of Land Use/Land Cover Change and Landscape Pattern Analysis in the Lower Reaches of the Tarim River, China

Arid

DOI	10.3390/land12051093
	Predictions of Land Use/Land Cover Change and Landscape Pattern Analysis in the Lower Reaches of the Tarim River, China
	Wang, Shanshan; Zuo, Qiting; Zhou, Kefa; Wang, Jinlin; Wang, Wei
通讯作者	Zuo, QT
来源期刊	LAND
EISSN	2073-445X
出版年	2023
卷号	12 期号:5
英文摘要	Natural vegetation on both sides of the Tarim River Basin (TRB) is the only barrier-a critical ecological niche-between the economic belt in the artificial oasis and the Taklimakan Desert. To understand the impact of human activities on the TRB, we explored the spatial and temporal variations in land use/land cover change (LUCC) and landscape pattern evolution from 2000 to 2020. These variations were simulated for 2030 with the 20 years of data using the cellular automata-Markov model and geographical information system analyses. The results predicted substantial LUCCs in the lower reaches of the Tarim River (TRlr), with 3400 km(2) (20.29%) of the total area (16,760.94 km(2)) undergoing changes. Wetland, artificial land, grassland, farmland, and forestland areas increased by 578.59, 43.90, 339.90, 201.62, and 536.11 km(2), respectively, during the period from 2020 to 2030. The only decreases were in the Gobi/other deserts and bare soils (1700.13 km(2)). We also determined current and future changes in TRlr landscape pattern indices at the class and landscape levels. Combined with a field survey and hydrological data, theoretical support for effective land use management strategies is provided. The findings offer a scientific basis for future ecological civilization construction and sustainable development in the TRB.
英文关键词	land use land cover change landscape pattern index predictive analysis human-land relationship Tarim River
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000997111600001
WOS关键词	WATER-USE ; BASIN ; VEGETATION ; MANAGEMENT
WOS类目	Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397660
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Shanshan,Zuo, Qiting,Zhou, Kefa,et al. Predictions of Land Use/Land Cover Change and Landscape Pattern Analysis in the Lower Reaches of the Tarim River, China[J],2023,12(5).
APA	Wang, Shanshan,Zuo, Qiting,Zhou, Kefa,Wang, Jinlin,&Wang, Wei.(2023).Predictions of Land Use/Land Cover Change and Landscape Pattern Analysis in the Lower Reaches of the Tarim River, China.LAND,12(5).
MLA	Wang, Shanshan,et al."Predictions of Land Use/Land Cover Change and Landscape Pattern Analysis in the Lower Reaches of the Tarim River, China".LAND 12.5(2023).