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DOI	10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101581
	Drought characteristics projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios in Syria
	Mathbout, Shifa; Martin-Vide, Javier; Bustins, Joan Albert Lopez
通讯作者	Mathbout, S
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
EISSN	2214-5818
出版年	2023
卷号	50
英文摘要	Study region: Syria Study focus: This study delves into predicting drought characteristics in Syria, focusing on their duration, frequency, and intensity. It utilizes a set of 13 models sourced from the latest CMIP6 dataset, encompassing two distinct SSP scenarios. To evaluate how well CMIP6 represents drought attributes in Syria, the research conducts a comparison with observed monthly climate data from CRU TS v4.06 and ERA 5, as well as the CMIP6 model ensemble outputs for reference period (1970-2000). New hydrological insights for the region: This study provides new hydrological insights for Syria. reveals robust projections of increasing drought severity, frequency, and duration, particularly the north and northeast arid and semi-arid regions, even under aggressive climate mitigation scenarios. Additionally, the study highlights that higher emissions scenarios are associated with more prolonged and intense drought events, potentially impacting even less vulnerable areas. These findings emphasize the urgent need for drought adaptation and mitigation measures, well as improved water resource planning, in order to address the changing hydrological landscape of the region. Furthermore, it underscores the long-lasting effects of drought on ecosystem recovery, which may span several decades.
英文关键词	Syria Mediterranean Drought features SSP CMIP6 CRU TS 4.06 ERA5 SPI SPEI
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001119830800001
WOS关键词	MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; DATASETS ; INDEXES ; VARIABILITY ; SEVERITY ; PATTERNS ; RISKS
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397452
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Mathbout, Shifa,Martin-Vide, Javier,Bustins, Joan Albert Lopez. Drought characteristics projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios in Syria[J],2023,50.
APA	Mathbout, Shifa,Martin-Vide, Javier,&Bustins, Joan Albert Lopez.(2023).Drought characteristics projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios in Syria.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,50.
MLA	Mathbout, Shifa,et al."Drought characteristics projections based on CMIP6 climate change scenarios in Syria".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 50(2023).