干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): The conflicts of agricultural water supply and demand under climate change in a typical arid land watershed of Central Asia

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101384
	The conflicts of agricultural water supply and demand under climate change in a typical arid land watershed of Central Asia
	Peng, Jiabin; Liu, Tie; Chen, Junxu; Li, Zhengyang; Ling, Yunan; De Wulf, Alain; De Maeyer, Philippe
通讯作者	Chen, JX
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
EISSN	2214-5818
出版年	2023
卷号	47
英文摘要	Study Region. The Bosten Lake basin. Study Focus. The irrigated agriculture distributed in arid/ semi-arid areas is of great significance for. food security and sustainable development. However, the shortage of water resources. limits agricultural development in these areas, and the water distribution pattern under. climate change is also uncertain. In this research, the Bosten Lake basin was selected. as the study area, and the monthly agricultural water supply (AWS) and demand. (AWD) in the historical and future periods were evaluated. New Hydrological Insights for the Region. Supported by the hydrological model and evapotranspiration model, the AWS and. AWD of the watershed were first evaluated, and 37 GCMs under CMIP6 were used to. expand the study to future periods, a novel downscaling scheme consisting of IDW and. BMA is used to in-crease the reliability of the results. The supply and demand of. agricultural water in the future scenarios within the region are revealed. In the. forthcoming future (the 2030 s), the watershed will maintain the warming and wetting. trend in the historical period. In the long-term future (the 2060 s), agricultural water. scarcity will become more severe, especially under the high emission scenario. (ssp585). The adaption strategies to address climate change have also been. proposed, and efficient water conveyance is highly recommended. This study is. expected to provide a reference for water resources management in arid/semi-arid. watersheds.
英文关键词	Hydrological model Climate change CMIP6 Arid area
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001044663100001
WOS关键词	IRRIGATION ; MODEL ; EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; RESOURCES ; SCARCITY ; IMPACTS ; QUALITY ; REGION
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397439
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Peng, Jiabin,Liu, Tie,Chen, Junxu,et al. The conflicts of agricultural water supply and demand under climate change in a typical arid land watershed of Central Asia[J],2023,47.
APA	Peng, Jiabin.,Liu, Tie.,Chen, Junxu.,Li, Zhengyang.,Ling, Yunan.,...&De Maeyer, Philippe.(2023).The conflicts of agricultural water supply and demand under climate change in a typical arid land watershed of Central Asia.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,47.
MLA	Peng, Jiabin,et al."The conflicts of agricultural water supply and demand under climate change in a typical arid land watershed of Central Asia".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 47(2023).