Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.135635
Intensive land management through policy intervention and spatiotemporal optimization can achieve carbon neutrality in advance
Ma, Shimeng; He, Liuyue; Fang, Yu; Liu, Xiuxia; Fan, Yunfei; Wang, Sufen
通讯作者Wang, SF
来源期刊JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN0959-6526
EISSN1879-1786
出版年2023
卷号385
英文摘要Ineffective control over industrialization and urbanization has exposed the shortcomings of land resource management. The overexploitation of limited high-quality land resources is exacerbating the global ecological and food crisis. There is an urgent need to change from expansion to intensification in land resource utili-zation. Taking the northwest oasis region of China as a case study, a spatio-temporal optimization model of land use and land cover (LULC) based on dynamic competitiveness evaluation was constructed, and four simulation scenarios, including natural growth without policy intervention (SN), economic priority (SE), food security (SF) and ecological protection (SP), were set up to evaluate and predict the contribution of land intensification to regional carbon neutrality. The results show that the total carbon emissions in the study region will rise sharply by 157.56% in 2030 compared with 2020 without policy intervention (SN). In contrast, all three land intensi-fication scenarios have great emission reduction potential: total regional carbon emissions can be reduced by 21.15% (SE), 22.78% (SF), and 51.72% (SP), respectively, compared with SN. Notably, the implementation of the ecological protection policy (SP) in the region will result in an average carbon emission per unit of GDP of 0.57 t/104 yuan in 2030, which is 25.44% lower than in 2020, implying a downward trend in carbon emissions per GDP between 2020 and 2030, and SP scenario will see the region achieve carbon peaking before 2030. The results can provide novelty methods and policy opinions for optimal land management from the perspective of a low-carbon city.
英文关键词Intensive land management Policy intervention Land competitiveness Spatial dynamic optimization Emissions targets
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000909925600001
WOS关键词DYNAMICS ; SYSTEM ; EMISSIONS ; MODEL ; EXPANSION ; FLUX
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/397214
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GB/T 7714
Ma, Shimeng,He, Liuyue,Fang, Yu,et al. Intensive land management through policy intervention and spatiotemporal optimization can achieve carbon neutrality in advance[J],2023,385.
APA Ma, Shimeng,He, Liuyue,Fang, Yu,Liu, Xiuxia,Fan, Yunfei,&Wang, Sufen.(2023).Intensive land management through policy intervention and spatiotemporal optimization can achieve carbon neutrality in advance.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,385.
MLA Ma, Shimeng,et al."Intensive land management through policy intervention and spatiotemporal optimization can achieve carbon neutrality in advance".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 385(2023).
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