干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Projecting the impacts of climate change on the wind erosion potential using an ensemble of GCMs in Hormozgan Coastal plains, Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10661-023-12072-1
	Projecting the impacts of climate change on the wind erosion potential using an ensemble of GCMs in Hormozgan Coastal plains, Iran
	Khodraz, Zohre; Akbarian, Mohammad; Khoorani, Asadollah
通讯作者	Akbarian, M
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
ISSN	0167-6369
EISSN	1573-2959
出版年	2023
卷号	195 期号:12
英文摘要	Wind erosion is one of the most critical problems in arid and semi-arid regions. The wind transports only dry soil, and no soil with a wet surface can be moved. The study aimed to investigate the changes in wind erosion potential in the coastal plains of Hormozgan province, Iran. Data from four synoptic stations from 1988 to 2017, as well as outputs from four climate models, namely HadGEM-2-CC, CSIRO-MK3- 6-0, ACCESS1-3 and CNRM-CM5, based on two Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, were used for the analysis. The outputs of climate models were ensembled and downscaled using the Change Factor statistical downscaling method. The downscaled data showed good accuracy in representing the large-scale GCM data. Furthermore, the Potential of Wind Erosion Occurrence was calculated for monthly and annual time scales using the Mann-Kendall nonparametric trend test. The results indicated that there were no significant trends in wind erosion occurrence during the base period (i.e., 1988 to 2017). However, it was projected that the potential for wind erosion occurrence and the percentage of windy days associated with drought would increase in the near future (i.e., 2031 to 2060) under both Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5). Interestingly, both scenarios showed a decreasing trend in wind erosion occurrence in the far future (i.e., 2071 to 2100). This suggests that changes in wind patterns play a significant role in shaping wind erosion potential, while daily precipitation does not have a significant impact on this trend.
英文关键词	Climate change Climatic hazards Geomorphological hazards Hormozgan Province Iran Wind Erosion
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001103114500002
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/396192
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Khodraz, Zohre,Akbarian, Mohammad,Khoorani, Asadollah. Projecting the impacts of climate change on the wind erosion potential using an ensemble of GCMs in Hormozgan Coastal plains, Iran[J],2023,195(12).
APA	Khodraz, Zohre,Akbarian, Mohammad,&Khoorani, Asadollah.(2023).Projecting the impacts of climate change on the wind erosion potential using an ensemble of GCMs in Hormozgan Coastal plains, Iran.ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,195(12).
MLA	Khodraz, Zohre,et al."Projecting the impacts of climate change on the wind erosion potential using an ensemble of GCMs in Hormozgan Coastal plains, Iran".ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 195.12(2023).