干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Simulation of the effects of climate change, crop pattern change, and developing irrigation systems on the groundwater resources by SWAT, WEAP and MODFLOW models: a case study of Fars province, Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10668-023-03157-5
	Simulation of the effects of climate change, crop pattern change, and developing irrigation systems on the groundwater resources by SWAT, WEAP and MODFLOW models: a case study of Fars province, Iran
	Shaabani, M. K.; Abedi-Koupai, J.; Eslamian, S. S.; Gohari, S. A. R.
通讯作者	Abedi-Koupai, J
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY
ISSN	1387-585X
EISSN	1573-2975
出版年	2023
英文摘要	The severe shortage of water resources is the most important cause of the uncontrolled abstraction of groundwater resources in semi-arid regions. In this regard, modeling and forecasting groundwater levels can help in the accurate estimation of watershed water consumption and sustainable agricultural development. In the present study, the interaction effect of surface and groundwater using SWAT, WEAP, and MODFLOW models on agricultural water consumption of Kavar plain in Fars province has been evaluated. Also, the simultaneous impact of climate change, increasing the efficiency of irrigation systems, and changing the cultivation pattern to predict the groundwater level in the future were analyzed. For these purposes, first, the changes in crop pattern and type of irrigation systems during the decade 2008 to 2018 were investigated; then different management scenarios were defined to balance the groundwater level. The results of predicting climatic parameters indicate that in all three scenarios of emissions in the next period (2021-2040), the temperature will increase (0.54-1.01 degrees C) and precipitation will decrease (3-10%). The combination of SWAT and WEAP models with the MODFLOW model showed that by using these models, the interaction behavior of surface water and groundwater, the amount of recharges, and groundwater level can be quantitatively simulated. Also, applying different irrigation scenarios in the models showed that by adjusting the cultivation pattern and improving surface and pressurized irrigation efficiencies, the amount of groundwater abstraction in dry and normal conditions can be reduced by 23 to 42 percent. Therefore, the groundwater level will increase in the next period.
英文关键词	MODFLOW SWAT WEAP Climate change Recharge Irrigation scenarios
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001196225900001
WOS关键词	GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL ; WATER-RESOURCES ; PRIORITY-DRIVEN ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; DEMAND-DRIVEN ; RIVER-BASIN ; PART 1 ; MANAGEMENT ; RECHARGE ; PRECIPITATION
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/396095
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Shaabani, M. K.,Abedi-Koupai, J.,Eslamian, S. S.,et al. Simulation of the effects of climate change, crop pattern change, and developing irrigation systems on the groundwater resources by SWAT, WEAP and MODFLOW models: a case study of Fars province, Iran[J],2023.
APA	Shaabani, M. K.,Abedi-Koupai, J.,Eslamian, S. S.,&Gohari, S. A. R..(2023).Simulation of the effects of climate change, crop pattern change, and developing irrigation systems on the groundwater resources by SWAT, WEAP and MODFLOW models: a case study of Fars province, Iran.ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY.
MLA	Shaabani, M. K.,et al."Simulation of the effects of climate change, crop pattern change, and developing irrigation systems on the groundwater resources by SWAT, WEAP and MODFLOW models: a case study of Fars province, Iran".ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY (2023).