干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Projecting Diversity Conflicts of Future Land System Pathways in China Under Anthropogenic and Climate Forcing

Arid

DOI	10.1029/2022EF003406
	Projecting Diversity Conflicts of Future Land System Pathways in China Under Anthropogenic and Climate Forcing
	Lin, Xin; Jiao, Xin; Tian, Zhiqiang; Sun, Qiangqiang; Zhang, Yongxiang; Zhang, Ping; Ji, Zhengxin; Chen, Lu; Lun, Fei; Chang, Xiao; Liu, Wen; Liu, Ming; Sun, Danfeng
通讯作者	Sun, QQ ; Sun, DF
来源期刊	EARTHS FUTURE
EISSN	2328-4277
出版年	2023
卷号	11 期号:10
英文摘要	Predicting future land system changes driven by anthropogenic and climactic impacts can help to explore adaptation and mitigation pathways for regional and global sustainable development. Here, we project land cover changes in China from 2030 to 2100 at a resolution of 1 km x 1 km under eight scenarios based on the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenraioMIP), which are extracted from Land Use Harmonization version 2 (LUH2). We use a rule-based method to classify and map 9 land cover dynamic trajectories at patch scale to present land system changes. At the provincial scale we used hierarchical clustering to identify archetypes of land cover change, which can predict ecological risks for future management in western provinces. Our results reveal that anthropogenic mitigation policies under high mitigation pressure do not result in positive impacts on the land system, but rising temperatures will provide a great opportunity for ecological restoration in some regions.
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:001084883700001
WOS关键词	TRAJECTORY ANALYSIS ; TEMPORAL PATTERNS ; USE SCENARIOS ; USE DYNAMICS ; COVER CHANGE ; SOIL CARBON ; TIME-SERIES ; MODEL ; DESERTIFICATION ; EARTH
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/395885
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lin, Xin,Jiao, Xin,Tian, Zhiqiang,et al. Projecting Diversity Conflicts of Future Land System Pathways in China Under Anthropogenic and Climate Forcing[J],2023,11(10).
APA	Lin, Xin.,Jiao, Xin.,Tian, Zhiqiang.,Sun, Qiangqiang.,Zhang, Yongxiang.,...&Sun, Danfeng.(2023).Projecting Diversity Conflicts of Future Land System Pathways in China Under Anthropogenic and Climate Forcing.EARTHS FUTURE,11(10).
MLA	Lin, Xin,et al."Projecting Diversity Conflicts of Future Land System Pathways in China Under Anthropogenic and Climate Forcing".EARTHS FUTURE 11.10(2023).