干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Estimation of Tasuj aquifer response to main meteorological parameter variations under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s00704-022-04025-4
	Estimation of Tasuj aquifer response to main meteorological parameter variations under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios
	Ghazi, Babak; Jeihouni, Esmaeil; Kisi, Ozgur; Quoc Bao Pham; Durin, Bojan
通讯作者	Ghazi, B
来源期刊	THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN	0177-798X
EISSN	1434-4483
出版年	2022
卷号	149 期号:1-2 页码:25-37
英文摘要	In this study, statistical and soft-computing methods are compared in forecasting groundwater levels under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in Tasuj Plain, Iran, for a near future period (2022-2027). A combination of general circulation models (GCMs) was used in the projection of precipitation and temperature in the future period. The estimation of climate variables for 2020-2044 period indicated that the temperature will increase, while the precipitation will decline. In simulation temporal groundwater level, wavelet-nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs (NARX), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), and wavelet-adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) models were used. The comparison of performance criteria for these models in the simulation of groundwater level demonstrated that the wavelet-NARX model with the R-2 of 0.99 has shown better efficiency. Finally, the simulation of groundwater level through the wavelet-NARX model was carried out for different scenarios. The results indicated that future groundwater levels in Tasuj Plain would continue to decline by 3.12 m, 3.96 m, and 4.79 m, for SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5, respectively.
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000775866100003
WOS关键词	ARTIFICIAL-INTELLIGENCE MODELS ; GROUNDWATER LEVEL PREDICTION ; SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE ; NEURAL-NETWORK ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TIME-SERIES ; INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT ; SURFACE-WATER ; EARTH SYSTEM ; ARID REGIONS
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394717
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ghazi, Babak,Jeihouni, Esmaeil,Kisi, Ozgur,et al. Estimation of Tasuj aquifer response to main meteorological parameter variations under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios[J],2022,149(1-2):25-37.
APA	Ghazi, Babak,Jeihouni, Esmaeil,Kisi, Ozgur,Quoc Bao Pham,&Durin, Bojan.(2022).Estimation of Tasuj aquifer response to main meteorological parameter variations under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,149(1-2),25-37.
MLA	Ghazi, Babak,et al."Estimation of Tasuj aquifer response to main meteorological parameter variations under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways scenarios".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 149.1-2(2022):25-37.