干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Aridity Analysis Using a Prospective Geospatial Simulation Model in This Mid-Century for the Northwest Region of Mexico

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su142215223
	Aridity Analysis Using a Prospective Geospatial Simulation Model in This Mid-Century for the Northwest Region of Mexico
	Yadira Perez-Aguilar, Lidia; Plata-Rocha, Wenseslao; Alberto Monjardin-Armenta, Sergio; Franco-Ochoa, Cuauhtemoc
通讯作者	Monjardin-Armenta, SA
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2022
卷号	14 期号:22
英文摘要	Aridity is a condition in which there is a moisture deficit in the air and soil that affects large areas of the earth's surface worldwide. It is a global problem caused mainly by factors related to climatic events and human actions. In the arid regions of Mexico, prolonged periods of drought are very common and water scarcity is the predominant feature. The main objective of this study is to develop a prospective geospatial simulation model for arid zones in the short and medium term (2030 and 2050) for the northwestern region of Mexico. A retrospective analysis of the variables that cause aridity was conducted based on historical data from satellite information obtained from various sources between 1985 and 2020, taking 2020 as the reference year; from this information the rate of change per year was obtained, followed by the simulated rates of change for the years 2030 and 2050. A methodology used to obtain arid zones using multicriteria evaluation techniques, weighted linear combination, and Geographic Information Systems. In order to generate the prospective model for arid zones, the variables were modeled to adjust the rate of change for each of them, with the same methodology subsequently applied to obtain the base year (2020), and aridity suitability maps were obtained for the years 2030 and 2050. The main results indicate that the prospective scenarios point to an increase in arid regions of 0.38% and 0.70%, respectively, which is equivalent to an area of approximately 240,164.63 km(2) and 241,760.75 km(2), respectively. This will cause a decrease in the subhumid-dry and humid regions of 0.10% and 0.19%, respectively, for the projected years. Statistical and geospatial aridity indicators were also generated at different levels, which helps to better understand the problem of aridity in vulnerable regions.
英文关键词	arid zones aridity geospatial model prospective model retrospective analysis
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000887824600001
WOS关键词	LAND-USE ; PROTECTED AREAS ; URBAN-GROWTH ; RIVER-BASIN ; FUZZY-LOGIC ; DEFORESTATION ; CLIMATE ; DROUGHT ; PRECIPITATION ; EXPERIENCES
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394674
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yadira Perez-Aguilar, Lidia,Plata-Rocha, Wenseslao,Alberto Monjardin-Armenta, Sergio,et al. Aridity Analysis Using a Prospective Geospatial Simulation Model in This Mid-Century for the Northwest Region of Mexico[J],2022,14(22).
APA	Yadira Perez-Aguilar, Lidia,Plata-Rocha, Wenseslao,Alberto Monjardin-Armenta, Sergio,&Franco-Ochoa, Cuauhtemoc.(2022).Aridity Analysis Using a Prospective Geospatial Simulation Model in This Mid-Century for the Northwest Region of Mexico.SUSTAINABILITY,14(22).
MLA	Yadira Perez-Aguilar, Lidia,et al."Aridity Analysis Using a Prospective Geospatial Simulation Model in This Mid-Century for the Northwest Region of Mexico".SUSTAINABILITY 14.22(2022).