Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3390/su14063578 |
Climate Change Affects Crop Production Potential in Semi-Arid Regions: A Case Study in Dingxi, Northwest China, in Recent 30 Years | |
Jia, Qiong; Li, Mengfei; Dou, Xuecheng | |
通讯作者 | Dou, XC |
来源期刊 | SUSTAINABILITY
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EISSN | 2071-1050 |
出版年 | 2022 |
卷号 | 14期号:6 |
英文摘要 | Crop production potential (CPP) is profoundly affected by the change in climate factors (e.g., precipitation, temperature, and solar radiation) brought about by climate change, which ultimately affects the quantity and yield of crops. In China, arid and semi-arid regions are mainly located in the western regions and occupy around 59% of the land area. In order to identify the most important climatic factors restricting the increase in CPP and planting systems in the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China, the changes in climate factors, CPP, and their correlation and planting systems were analyzed based on a representative semi-arid location, Dingxi, of Gansu province, from 1989 to 2019. The results showed that the temperature and precipitation increased by 0.89 degrees C and 26.61 mm, respectively, whereas solar radiation decreased by 5-6 d. The standard CPP of five crops (wheat, corn, potato, Chinese herbal medicines, and vegetables) increased by 655.09 kg/ha (1.09-fold), and precipitation played a more important role in improving CPP than other climate factors. Although there were positive correlations between the standard CPP and the five crops' actual yields, no significant relationships were observed. The total cultivation area of the five crops showed a 215.55 x 10(3) ha (1.75-fold) increase with a 8.91-, 2.33-, 8.73- and 3.10-fold increase for corn, potato, Chinese herbal medicines, and vegetables, respectively, plus a 2.58-fold decrease for wheat. The agricultural ecosystem's adaptability presented an obvious increase, especially from 2013 to 2019, although the agricultural natural environment factor maintained a low level. These findings provide scientific and technological support for the adjustment of planting structure, optimization of agricultural arrangement and development of water-saving agriculture in arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China. |
英文关键词 | climate change crop production potential precipitation agricultural ecosystem adaptability semi-arid regions northwest China |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | gold |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000774481000001 |
WOS关键词 | CHANGE IMPACTS ; AGRICULTURE ; ADAPTATION ; YIELD ; EFFICIENCY ; PHENOLOGY ; DROUGHT ; TRENDS ; MAIZE ; WHEAT |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394550 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jia, Qiong,Li, Mengfei,Dou, Xuecheng. Climate Change Affects Crop Production Potential in Semi-Arid Regions: A Case Study in Dingxi, Northwest China, in Recent 30 Years[J],2022,14(6). |
APA | Jia, Qiong,Li, Mengfei,&Dou, Xuecheng.(2022).Climate Change Affects Crop Production Potential in Semi-Arid Regions: A Case Study in Dingxi, Northwest China, in Recent 30 Years.SUSTAINABILITY,14(6). |
MLA | Jia, Qiong,et al."Climate Change Affects Crop Production Potential in Semi-Arid Regions: A Case Study in Dingxi, Northwest China, in Recent 30 Years".SUSTAINABILITY 14.6(2022). |
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