Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157527 |
Identifying the dominant impact factors and their contributions to heatwave events over mainland China | |
Liang, Liaofeng; Yu, Linfei; Wang, Zhonggen | |
通讯作者 | Wang, ZG |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
出版年 | 2022 |
卷号 | 848 |
英文摘要 | The heatwave frequency and intensity have significantly changed as the climate warms and human activities increase, which poses a potential risk to human society. However, the impact factors that determine the change of heatwave events remain unclear. Here, we estimated the heatwave events based on data from 2474 in-suit gauges during 1960-2018 at daily scale in China. Besides, we explored possible drivers and their contributions to the change of heatwave based on correlation analysis, multiple linear regression (MLR), and random forest (RF) in different subregions of China. The results show that the temporal changes of all heatwave metrics exhibit significant differences between the period 1960-1984 and the period 1985-2019. Spatially, the heatwave frequency and duration significant increase in the southern China (S), eastern arid region (EA), northeastern China (NE), Qinghai-Tibet region (QT) and western arid and semi-arid region (WAS). The occurrence of the first heatwave event in a year tends to be earlier in S, NE, EA, WAS, and QT than before. Based on the regression modelling and RF, human activities play an important role in heatwave intensity in all subregions of China. For heatwave frequency, urbanization generate a dominant influence in NE, EA, and QT, with relative contributions (RC) ranging from 32.8 % to 38.9 %. long-term climate change exerts the dominant influence in C, N, and S. Moreover, the first day of the yearly heatwave event (HWT) in NE is significantly influenced by climate change, with RC of 33.9 % for temperature variation (TEM). Our findings could provide critical information for understanding the causes of heatwave across different regions of China in the context of rapid urbanization and climate change. |
英文关键词 | Heatwaves Spatial-temporal variation Impact factors Contribution quantification |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000866470300003 |
WOS关键词 | EXTREME HEAT ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE ; SUMMER ; WAVE ; CIRCULATION ; MORTALITY ; TRENDS ; RADIATION ; SELECTION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394401 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liang, Liaofeng,Yu, Linfei,Wang, Zhonggen. Identifying the dominant impact factors and their contributions to heatwave events over mainland China[J],2022,848. |
APA | Liang, Liaofeng,Yu, Linfei,&Wang, Zhonggen.(2022).Identifying the dominant impact factors and their contributions to heatwave events over mainland China.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,848. |
MLA | Liang, Liaofeng,et al."Identifying the dominant impact factors and their contributions to heatwave events over mainland China".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 848(2022). |
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