Arid
DOI10.1029/2021RG000762
Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East
Zittis, G.; Almazroui, M.; Alpert, P.; Ciais, P.; Cramer, W.; Dahdal, Y.; Fnais, M.; Francis, D.; Hadjinicolaou, P.; Howari, F.; Jrrar, A.; Kaskaoutis, D. G.; Kulmala, M.; Lazoglou, G.; Mihalopoulos, N.; Lin, X.; Rudich, Y.; Sciare, J.; Stenchikov, G.; Xoplaki, E.; Lelieveld, J.
通讯作者Lelieveld, J
来源期刊REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS
ISSN8755-1209
EISSN1944-9208
出版年2022
卷号60期号:3
英文摘要Observation-based and modeling studies have identified the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East (EMME) region as a prominent climate change hotspot. While several initiatives have addressed the impacts of climate change in parts of the EMME, here we present an updated assessment, covering a wide range of timescales, phenomena and future pathways. Our assessment is based on a revised analysis of recent observations and projections and an extensive overview of the recent scientific literature on the causes and effects of regional climate change. Greenhouse gas emissions in the EMME are growing rapidly, surpassing those of the European Union, hence contributing significantly to climate change. Over the past half-century and especially during recent decades, the EMME has warmed significantly faster than other inhabited regions. At the same time, changes in the hydrological cycle have become evident. The observed recent temperature increase of about 0.45 degrees C per decade is projected to continue, although strong global greenhouse gas emission reductions could moderate this trend. In addition to projected changes in mean climate conditions, we call attention to extreme weather events with potentially disruptive societal impacts. These include the strongly increasing severity and duration of heatwaves, droughts and dust storms, as well as torrential rain events that can trigger flash floods. Our review is complemented by a discussion of atmospheric pollution and land-use change in the region, including urbanization, desertification and forest fires. Finally, we identify sectors that may be critically affected and formulate adaptation and research recommendations toward greater resilience of the EMME region to climate change.
英文关键词climate change Eastern Mediterranean Middle East climate change impacts Extreme events regional climate models
类型Review
语种英语
开放获取类型Green Published
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000826365600001
WOS关键词AEROSOL OPTICAL DEPTH ; INDIAN-SUMMER MONSOON ; SHIP-BORNE MEASUREMENTS ; TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS ; SEA-LEVEL RISE ; HIGH-RESOLUTION ; WATER-RESOURCES ; DUST ACTIVITY ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; TREND ANALYSIS
WOS类目Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS研究方向Geochemistry & Geophysics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394277
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GB/T 7714
Zittis, G.,Almazroui, M.,Alpert, P.,et al. Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East[J],2022,60(3).
APA Zittis, G..,Almazroui, M..,Alpert, P..,Ciais, P..,Cramer, W..,...&Lelieveld, J..(2022).Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East.REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS,60(3).
MLA Zittis, G.,et al."Climate Change and Weather Extremes in the Eastern Mediterranean and Middle East".REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS 60.3(2022).
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