干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Land Use Dynamic Changes in an Arid Inland River Basin Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation

Arid

DOI	10.3390/rs14122797
	Land Use Dynamic Changes in an Arid Inland River Basin Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation
	Hou, Yifeng; Chen, Yaning; Li, Zhi; Li, Yupeng; Sun, Fan; Zhang, Shuai; Wang, Chuan; Feng, Meiqing
通讯作者	Chen, YN
来源期刊	REMOTE SENSING
EISSN	2072-4292
出版年	2022
卷号	14 期号:12
英文摘要	The Tarim River Basin is the largest inland river basin in China. It is located in an extremely arid region, where agriculture and animal husbandry are the main development industries. The recent rapid rise in population and land demand has intensified the competition for urban land use, making the water body ecosystem increasingly fragile. In light of these issues, it is important to comprehensively grasp regional land structure changes, improve the degree of land use, and reasonably allocate water resources to achieve the sustainable development of both the social economy and the ecological environment. This study uses the CA-Markov model, the PLUS model and the gray prediction model to simulate and validate land use/cover change (LUCC) in the Tarim River Basin, based on remote sensing data. The aim of this research is to discern the dynamic LUCC patterns and predict the evolution of future spatial and temporal patterns of land use. The study results show that grassland and barren land are currently the main land types in the Tarim River Basin. Furthermore, the significant expansion of cropland area and reduction in barren land area are the main characteristics of the changes during the study period (1992-2020), when about 1.60% of grassland and 1.36% of barren land converted to cropland. Over the next 10 years, we anticipate that land-use types in the basin will be dominated by changes in grassland and barren land, with an increasing trend in land area other than for cropland and barren land. Grassland will add 31,241.96 km2, mainly in the Dina River and the lower parts of the Weigan-Kuqu, Kashgar, Kriya, and Qarqan rivers, while barren land will decline 2.77%, with significant decreases in the middle and lower reaches of the Tarim River Basin. The findings of this study will provide a solid scientific basis for future land resource planning.
英文关键词	arid zone TarimRiver Basin land use/cover change CA-Markovmodel model comparison
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000852704000001
WOS关键词	CA-MARKOV MODEL ; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; COVER CHANGE ; TARIM RIVER ; CHINA ; AREAS ; CLASSIFICATION ; PATTERN ; POLICY
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394155
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Hou, Yifeng,Chen, Yaning,Li, Zhi,et al. Land Use Dynamic Changes in an Arid Inland River Basin Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation[J],2022,14(12).
APA	Hou, Yifeng.,Chen, Yaning.,Li, Zhi.,Li, Yupeng.,Sun, Fan.,...&Feng, Meiqing.(2022).Land Use Dynamic Changes in an Arid Inland River Basin Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation.REMOTE SENSING,14(12).
MLA	Hou, Yifeng,et al."Land Use Dynamic Changes in an Arid Inland River Basin Based on Multi-Scenario Simulation".REMOTE SENSING 14.12(2022).