干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Food security in Roman Palmyra (Syria) in light of paleoclimatological evidence and its historical implications

Arid

DOI	10.1371/journal.pone.0273241
	Food security in Roman Palmyra (Syria) in light of paleoclimatological evidence and its historical implications
	Jimenez, Joan Campmany; Romanowska, Iza; Raja, Rubina; Seland, Eivind H.
通讯作者	Romanowska, I
来源期刊	PLOS ONE
ISSN	1932-6203
出版年	2022
卷号	17 期号:9
英文摘要	Food security in ancient urban centers is often discussed but rarely formally modelled. Despite its location in an inhospitable desert where food production is a constant challenge ancient Palmyra grew from a small oasis settlement in to a major geopolitical player. Here, we present a spatially explicit reconstruction of the land use and agricultural yield expectations of its hinterland determining the maximum feasible population of the city. Coupling the hinterland carrying capacity model with palaeoclimatic data allowed us to track changes in the food security of the city in the face of changing climate. While initially the hinterland could provide ample food resources for the small settlement with time the deteriorating climate conditions after the Roman Optimum (100 BCE-200 CE) collided with rapidly growing population of the city. The nexus of these two processes fall at mid third century-a period of profound changes in the structure of Palmyrene society, its geopolitical situation and its historical trajectory. The results point to increasingly precarious subsistence levels as a likely factor behind rapid militarization, shift towards an autocratic regime and military expansion of the city in the late third century CE. As a well-established causal mechanism in many modern conflicts and crises, food security is also a potential causal factor behind historical events, if a hard one to prove due to the difficulty of identifying relevant data patterns. The methods presented establishes a robust research pipeline that can be used on other ancient urban centers, contributing to the construction of an empirically supported model of how food security shaped human history, past and present.
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Green Published, gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000952203500001
WOS关键词	WESTERN TAURUS MOUNTAINS ; SIMULATE YIELD RESPONSE ; FAO CROP MODEL ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; EMPIRE ; TRENDS ; IMPACT ; NEGEV
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394041
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jimenez, Joan Campmany,Romanowska, Iza,Raja, Rubina,et al. Food security in Roman Palmyra (Syria) in light of paleoclimatological evidence and its historical implications[J],2022,17(9).
APA	Jimenez, Joan Campmany,Romanowska, Iza,Raja, Rubina,&Seland, Eivind H..(2022).Food security in Roman Palmyra (Syria) in light of paleoclimatological evidence and its historical implications.PLOS ONE,17(9).
MLA	Jimenez, Joan Campmany,et al."Food security in Roman Palmyra (Syria) in light of paleoclimatological evidence and its historical implications".PLOS ONE 17.9(2022).