干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Simulating the spatiotemporal variations of oasis rural settlements in the upper reaches of rivers of arid regions in Xinjiang, China

Arid

DOI	10.1371/journal.pone.0275241
	Simulating the spatiotemporal variations of oasis rural settlements in the upper reaches of rivers of arid regions in Xinjiang, China
	Xie, Ling; Wang, Hongwei; Liu, Suhong
通讯作者	Wang, HW
来源期刊	PLOS ONE
ISSN	1932-6203
出版年	2022
卷号	17 期号:9
英文摘要	Rural settlements in oasis are primary habitations, and their changes are related to natural environment and anthropogenic activities. The spatiotemporal variations of rural settlements in an oasis are significant in arid regions. In this study, Qipan Township (QPT) and Yamansu Township (YMST) were chosen as a case study and validation case, respectively. Datasets, including Landsat images in 2002, 2010, and 2018, were collected. The cellular automata (CA)-agent-based model (ABM) and patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model were used to simulate the spatiotemporal dynamic variations of rural settlement and other land use types in the oasis in this study. Natural environmental, socioeconomic conditions, and human decision-making are the three driving factors that were used in the model. Human decision-making involves the actions of two types of agents: authority agent and resident agent. On the basis of land use data of 2002 and 2010, the rural settlement and other land use in 2018 were predicted using the CA-MAS and PLUS models. The following results were obtained: First, human decision-making behaviors were the leading factor in the changes of rural settlements in the CA-ABM model. Second, CA based on multiple random seed (CARS) of PLUS could better simulate the spatiotemporal variations of QPT rural settlements than CA-ABM and linear regression of PLUS. Similarly, CARS of PLUS also simulated the spatiotemporal evolution of rural settlements in YMST with high accuracy. Third, the areas of croplands, roads, and residential lands in QPT will expand to 20.7, 5.7, and 4.6 km(2), respectively, in 2026, but the unused land will shrink, as predicted by CARS of PLUS. This study provides a scientific basis for the environmental protection of rural settlements in the oasis and sustainable settlement planning in arid regions.
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000892100100083
WOS关键词	LAND-USE CHANGE ; MULTIAGENT SYSTEM MODEL ; URBAN-GROWTH ; TARIM BASIN ; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; METROPOLITAN REGION ; RESIDENTIAL LAND ; DYNAMIC PATTERN ; COVER CHANGE
WOS类目	Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/394038
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Xie, Ling,Wang, Hongwei,Liu, Suhong. Simulating the spatiotemporal variations of oasis rural settlements in the upper reaches of rivers of arid regions in Xinjiang, China[J],2022,17(9).
APA	Xie, Ling,Wang, Hongwei,&Liu, Suhong.(2022).Simulating the spatiotemporal variations of oasis rural settlements in the upper reaches of rivers of arid regions in Xinjiang, China.PLOS ONE,17(9).
MLA	Xie, Ling,et al."Simulating the spatiotemporal variations of oasis rural settlements in the upper reaches of rivers of arid regions in Xinjiang, China".PLOS ONE 17.9(2022).